Temperatures in the Northland will be a little warmer Thursday afternoon compared to the last few days but will still be running 5-10 degrees below normal for early May. The good news is that I think will see at least a little bit of sunshine break through the clouds, although it may take a little while for that to happen, but I’m not expecting widespread sunny/blue skies on Thursday.
18z NAM-WRF model 5-1-19
Radar forecast valid through Noon Thursday.
Will see some more light rain, snow, drizzle and areas of fog in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin tonight into early Thursday morning. Precipitation will end from SW-NE Thursday morning.
Note: Not expecting widespread heavy rain or snow totals tonight, but a few locations could see a coating to an inch or two of slushy snow by daybreak.
12z European ensemble model (5-1-19)
Temperature anomaly forecast valid through May 16, 2019.
Temperatures in the Northland will warm up just a bit the next few days with Saturday looking like the warmest day, but the overall trend through the next 2 weeks (or through mid May) is for below normal temperatures in our area, in other words instead of seeing highs in the 60s which is where we should be at this time of year, we’re looking at highs in the 40s and 50s, possibly even a little cooler then that at times near Lake Superior.
Blue and green colors=Below normal temperatures
Orange and red colors=Above normal temperatures
Note: We’ve entered the final month of Meteorological spring 2019, the period from March 1 to May 31, here’s how we’re doing so far this spring
Average temperature: 32.4 degrees
Departure: -0.3 degrees below normal
Precipitation: 3.38 inches
Departure: -0.54 inches below normal
Note: So far this spring is running +3.0 degrees warmer than last spring with +1.55 inch more precipitation this spring compared to last spring through April 30.
Statewide averages for Minnesota so far for spring 2019 (March 1 to April 30)
Temperature: 32.7 degrees
Departure: -3.5 degrees below normal
Precipitation: 5.12 inches
Departure: +0.91 inches above normal
Note: So far this spring is running +2.3 degrees warmer than last spring in Minnesota with +1.91 inch more precipitation this spring compared to last spring through April 30.
Forecast for Duluth
.Tonight… Breezy. Light rain, drizzle, fog and some snow. Low 32 to 35. Wind east to northeast 15 to 25 mph.
.Thursday… Areas of fog with some lingering light rain or snow early in the day, otherwise mostly cloudy with some sunshine developing at times. Spotty afternoon showers possible. High 48 to 53. Wind becoming west 5 to 15 mph.
.Friday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 50 to 55 but cooler near Lake Superior. Wind east 10 to 15 mph.
Normal temperatures for May 2
May 2 Sunrise: 5:52 AM CDT
May 2 Sunset: 8:20 PM CDT