Patchy light snow and freezing drizzle tonight; 30s to ~40 Tuesday afternoon; some rain and snow possible Wednesday-Thursday morning

Tonight’s system which really didn’t look impressive to begin with looks even less impressive now.

Looking at a risk for some patchy light snow, drizzle and freezing drizzle across the area tonight with snowfall accumulations of a few tenths of an inch possible with a light glaze of ice possible as well, but I don’t think the freezing drizzle will be that widespread, but still use caution if traveling later tonight-early Tuesday morning as some roads and sidewalks could become a bit slick.

Radar forecast below valid from 7 PM this evening to Noon Tuesday.

Source: 18z NAM-WRF model 11.18.19; https://weathermodels.com/

Midweek system looks to bring some snow and rain to the Northland.

Computer models are coming into pretty good agreement showing the main swath of snow setting up across northern Minnesota (north of Duluth) for Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning with amounts of 2 to around 5 inches possible the way it looks now.

A rain/snow mix is expected farther south, including in Duluth and Superior. Looks like we could get around 1 to 2 inches of slushy wet snow in Duluth and Superior Wednesday night-Thursday morning.

Here’s what I’ve come up with for a preliminary forecast for the midweek system.

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Computer models are having a hell of a time trying to figure out the pattern for next week.

Had pretty good consistency in model guidance for a few days showing a colder pattern setting up next week, but the long range models have been trending away from that today, with the colder risks now shifting to the Central/Southern Rockies into the South-Central Plains for next week.

A lot of model variability showing up for next week. Stay tuned.

Source: 12z European ensemble model 11.18.19; https://weathermodels.com/

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Low temperature forecast for Tuesday morning, November 19. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Tuesday, November 19

…Weather Summary…

Another gray and gloomy late fall day around here, but this is very typical for this time of year.

An area of low pressure along with a cold front will move slowly east out of western Minnesota tonight, as this system moves east it will weaken with the cold front turning into a trough by the time it reaches eastern Minnesota by Tuesday morning.

Greatest lift with tonight’s system will pass west/south of the Northland with only pockets of weak lift expected in our area which will lead to areas of light snow, drizzle and freezing drizzle tonight into Tuesday morning transitioning to a few showers of rain or snow Tuesday afternoon.

Mostly cloudy skies tonight with patchy fog possible with lows in the middle 20s to lower 30s. Winds will be out of the south at 5 to 15 mph.

I don’t think will see a whole lot of sun again on Tuesday as skies remain mostly cloudy (perhaps a few breaks in the clouds) highs will be in the 30s to lower 40s with south or west-northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Some snow should begin to develop during the day Wednesday in northern Minnesota with mainly dry conditions farther south. Highs on Wednesday are forecast to range from the lower 30s in the north to the mid 30s to around 40 degrees in east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Snow across northern Minnesota Wednesday night with a mix of rain and snow farther south which should transition to mostly snow on Thursday although precipitation is forecast to taper off during the day Thursday.

Turning colder late this week but looks like will warm up a bit this weekend.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Some light snow or freezing drizzle possible late. Low 28 to 32. Wind south to southeast 5 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog in the morning with some light snow, drizzle or freezing drizzle possible. High 35 to 40. Wind south 5 to 15 mph becoming southwest.

.Wednesday… Mostly cloudy. High 35 to 40. Wind becoming east 10 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for November 19

High 34
Low 20

Sunrise Tuesday 7:17 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday 4:31 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

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