Fewer subzero nights compared to what we typically see in January, combined with above normal daytime high temperatures has led to a warmer than average January across the Northland with average temperatures through the 24th running 3 to 5 degrees above normal!
So far this month, 8 nights with a subzero temperature in Duluth, Minnesota. The average for January is 15 subzero nights (1875-2019 climate period) Fewest subzero nights on record in January is 1, set in 2006. Greatest number of subzero nights on record in January is 27, set in 1982 and 1929.
In Duluth, 17/24 days this month have had an above average temperature compared to only 7/24 days with a below average temperature. 71% of days have been warmer than average vs. 29% of days being colder than average in Duluth in January 2020 (thru the 24th)
Source https://mrcc.illinois.edu/
Most of the Lower 48 is having a warmer than average January with just a few pockets across the Northern Plains and western U.S. with below average temperatures (blue and green colors on map)
Source https://lab.weathermodels.com/
Low pressure system which has been affecting the Great Lakes over the last few days continues to lift slowly to the NE today. Widespread clouds occurring once again today on the backside of this system.
Source Goes-16 visible satellite imagery, 1.25.20; https://weather.cod.edu/
Quite a pattern change in Alaska recently, gone are the record warm temperatures, replaced by widespread arctic air/record cold. Note: No signs this arctic airmass makes it into the Northland through at least February 3rd, but it has been building well to our northwest, just need the jet stream to buckle enough to send this arctic air south into our area.
Source RTMA model https://lab.weathermodels.com/
Source http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/
Mild temperatures look to continue through next week in the Nortland, but there are some indications showing up in long range model guidance for a colder weather pattern setting up sometime in early February.
Orange and red colors on map=Above normal temperatures.
Blue and green colors on map=Below normal temperatures.
Source 12z European ensemble model 1.25.20; https://weathermodels.com/
Temperature Anomaly Forecast valid from January 26 to February 9, 2020.
Low temperature forecast for Sunday morning, January 26, 2020. Source https://graphical.weather.gov/
High temperature forecast for Sunday, January 26.
…Weather Summary…
Mostly cloudy skies lingered in the Northland today with some snow showers, flurries and patchy drizzle over parts of northwest Wisconsin thanks to an area of low pressure which has moved into Lower Michigan today. Mild temperatures today with highs in the middle 20s to lower 30s. Note: Normal highs in the Northland for January 25th are in the teens.
There won’t be a whole lot of change in our weather the next few days. The big story will be the continued mild temperatures with overnight lows tonight and Sunday night in the teens and 20s, highs Sunday and Monday in the 20s to lower 30s. Note: Patchy snow showers, flurries and drizzle can’t be ruled out at times into Sunday, but no major impacts/accumulation of snow/ice are expected.
Mostly cloudy skies look to continue through Monday, but some breaks in the clouds are possible at times, but overall don’t expect much sunshine Sunday or Monday.
Mid to late next week could offer an opportunity for a skiff of snow in our area, but doesn’t look like much, unless the Canadian model were to verify with its snowier solution for late next week.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight… Mostly cloudy. Low 21 to 26. Wind northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.Sunday… Mostly cloudy. A few flurries or patchy drizzle possible. High 30 to 34. Wind north 5 to 15 mph.
.Monday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 30 to 33. Wind north to northwest 10 to 15 mph.
| Normal temperatures for January 26 High 19 Low 1 Sunrise Sunday 7:41 AM CST Sunset Sunday 5:02 PM CST | |
Thanks for reading!
Tim
