Overcast and mild; cooler risks return next week

Overcast skies continue to cover such a large area from eastern Montana to Michigan today. If you want a decent amount of sunshine today, one would have to travel to western South Dakota (Rapid City area)

Source Goes-16 visible satellite loop 1.26.20; https://weather.cod.edu/

It’ll be another mild week across the Northland with no subzero temperatures expected through at least February 2nd.

Source 12z European ensemble model 1.26.20; https://weathermodels.com/

Cooler risks continue to show up for next week per long range model guidance, in fact we may see subzero temperatures return to some parts of the Northland sometime next week.

Source 12z European ensemble model 1.26.20

Low temperature forecast for Monday morning, January 27. Source https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Monday, January 27.

Temperature and Precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota for the week of January 19th, 2020

High Temperatures/Departure from Normal

1.19: 18F/-1 degree below normal
1.20: 19F/Normal
1.21: 20F/+1 degree above normal
1.22: 32F/+13 degrees above normal
1.23: 31F/+12 degrees above normal
1.24: 30F/+11 degrees above normal
1.25: 32F/+13 degrees above normal

Low Temperatures/Departure from Normal

1.19: 6F/+5 degrees above normal
1.20: -2F/-3 degrees below normal
1.21: 2F/+1 degree above normal
1.22: 16F/+15 degrees above normal
1.23: 24F/+23 degrees above normal
1.24: 22F/+21 degrees above normal
1.25: 25F/+24 degrees above normal

Note: Average temperature in Duluth for the week of January 19th: 19.6 degrees; +9.6 degrees above normal. Source https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/

Total precipitation: 0.29″
Normal: 0.20″
Departure: +0.09″ above normal

State Average for Minnesota for the week of January 19th, 2020

Temperature 14.9 degrees
Departure +3.5 degrees above normal
Precipitation 0.20″
Departure +0.04″ above normal

Average temperature, departure from mean for the week of January 19th, 2020.

Another torch last week with average temperatures running 5 to 10 degrees warmer than normal!

Source https://mrcc.illinois.edu/

Total precipitation, departure from mean for the week of January 19th, 2020.

…Weather Summary…

A stagnant winter weather pattern featuring lots of clouds, a light breeze along with mild temperatures will remain with us over the next few days. There could also be some patchy fog, haze, flurries and freezing drizzle at times, but no major impacts to travel are expected with little if any snow/ice accumulation.

Mostly cloudy skies continue tonight, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, but we may see some breaks in the clouds develop at times allowing for at least a little bit of sun over the next few days.

Lows tonight and Monday night will be in the teens and 20s with highs Monday and Tuesday in the 20s to lower 30s.

There will be some cold air advection which moves south out of Ontario and into the Northland from late Monday into Wednesday which will send 850mb temperatures down to around -10 to -15C, but this won’t really do much to the surface temperatures which remain mild for this time of the year.


Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly cloudy. Patchy freezing drizzle or flurries possible. Low 21 to 26. Wind north to northwest around 10 mph.

.Monday… Mostly cloudy (few peeks of sun possible) Flurries possible. High 26 to 31. Wind north to northwest 5 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy (few peeks of sun possible) High 25 to 30. Wind north to northwest 5 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for January 27

High 20
Low 2

Sunrise Monday 7:39 AM CST
Sunset Monday 5:04 PM CST

Thanks for reading!


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