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A little cooler (closer to normal) through midweek

Normal highs in the Northland for January 28th range from 17 degrees at International Falls to 23 degrees at Brainerd and Ashland.

Highs on Tuesday are forecast to range from around 20 to 25 degrees in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Source https://weathermodels.com/

Lake Superior ice coverage continues to run well below average for late January with only 2.5% of Lake Superior covered by ice as of January 27th.

Source https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/

Red line on the graph below represents the ice coverage for Lake Superior in 2020; blue represents the long term average ice coverage from 1973 to 2019.

Note: Should be close to 20% ice coverage on Lake Superior in late January, only sitting at 2% right now. At this time last year, Lake Superior was ~15% ice covered.

Source https://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/

January 2020 ranks in the top 20 for warmest Januaries on record at the following locations in the Northland.

With a few days left to go this month will see if January 2020 remains in the top 20 warmest or if it falls out of the top 20.

Ashland – 14th warmest January on record thru the 26th with an average temperature of 19.1 degrees. Warmest January on record occurred in 2006 with an average temperature of 25.9 degrees. Records for Ashland date back to 1893.

Brainerd – 16th warmest January on record thru the 26th with an average temperature of 15.3 degrees. Warmest January on record occurred in 2006 with an average temperature of 25.2 degrees. Records for Brainerd date back to 1899.

Hibbing – 17th warmest January on record thru the 26th with an average temperature of 10.7 degrees. Warmest January on record occurred in 2006 with an average temperature of 21.0 degrees. Records for Hibbing date back to 1931.

International Falls – 15th warmest January on record thru the 26th with an average temperature of 9.9 degrees. Warmest January on record occurred in 2006 with an average temperature of 18.8 degrees. Record for International Falls date back to 1895.

Note: January 2020 currently ranks as 23rd warmest January on record in Duluth with records going back to 1870.

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Low temperature forecast for Tuesday morning, January 28, 2020. Source https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Tuesday, January 28.

…Weather Summary…

Temperatures trended cooler today compared to previous days, and one of the reasons behind the cooler temps are the 850mb temperatures which have fallen to around -8C today, certainly not an arctic airmass, but cooler – more average for late January. High temperatures today ranged from the middle teens to middle 20s with generally overcast skies once again along with a few snow flurries/patchy freezing drizzle.

High pressure builds into the upper Midwest through midweek. Uneventful weather continues under mostly cloudy skies, but I’m still holding out hope that we see at least a little sunshine either Tuesday or Wednesday.

With a colder airmass overhead, temperatures will be closer to normal for daytime highs through Wednesday while overnight lows remain above normal.

Lows tonight and Tuesday night are forecast to be in the single digits and teens with highs Tuesday and Wednesday in the 20s. Winds through Tuesday will be out of the north or northwest at 5 to 15 mph. Winds shift to the east on Wednesday which could cause some light lake effect snow along the North Shore of Lake Superior, but little accumulation is expected.

Note: I’m not seeing a whole lot of snow in our area through this weekend per model guidance, but a system ~February 3rd might bring a little snow to parts of the area but model agreement is poor on the track of this system.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly cloudy. Low 10 to 15. Wind northwest 5 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy (few peeks of sun possible) High 20 to 25. Wind north 5 to 15 mph.

.Wednesday… Mostly cloudy. Few flurries possible. High 24 to 29. Wind east around 10 mph.

Normal temperatures for January 28

High 20
Low 2

Sunrise Tuesday 7:38 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday 5:05 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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