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Skiff of snow possible Thursday night-Friday; gusty NE wind on Friday

We’ve got a little bit of snow on the way for Thursday evening through Friday. Most of the Northland can expect about an inch or less of snowfall out of this system, but higher amounts possibly in the 2 to 3 inch range is possible along the North Shore of Lake Superior (Two Harbors to Tofte) and also along the South Shore (Bayfield Peninsula)

Model guidance has been in pretty good agreement on the track of a weather system for late this weekend. This system could bring a swath of 4 inch plus snowfall amounts to the southern half of Minnesota into central Wisconsin on Sunday.

At the moment, it appears this system will pass too far south of the Northland to give us much snow, but with it being a few days away, the track of it could nudge a little more to the north or even a little more south the next few days. Note: If this low comes farther north, it would increase the chances for some accumulating snow on Sunday in portions of the Northland, but right now this chance looks very very low. Stay tuned.

Note: Forecast storm track in red on the map below.

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Goes-16 visible satellite image of Lake Superior is a thing of beauty today. The lack of ice is quite remarkable for early February.

Source: https://weather.cod.edu/

More active times next week?

Upper level pattern may become favorable for a stronger system to come out of the Rockies/Plains sometime next week, but computer models have been having a difficult time as of late regarding the track and strength of any such system for next week, and there remains considerable uncertainty whether or not the Northland would even be impacted. Time frame to monitor looks to be ~February 11-14.

Source: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Low temperature forecast for Thursday morning, February 6th, 2020. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Thursday, February 6th.

…Weather Summary…

We’ve reached the time of year where we can get big time temperature swings in the Northland, for example, Hibbing, Minnesota started out the day at -20 degrees, but by this afternoon, the temperature had climbed to 30 degrees, a +50 degree rise in temperatures in Hibbing today.

A quiet weather night ahead for our area under clear to partly cloudy skies. Lows will be in the single digits below to the lower teens above zero. Winds south or southwest 5 to 15 mph.

Clouds increase on Thursday as a cold front drops south out of Ontario while low pressure moves southeast out of the Northern Plains. Could see some light snow develop later in the day in far northern Minnesota with generally dry conditions elsewhere. Highs on Thursday in the 20s to lower 30s. Winds south or northeast 5 to 15 mph.

Chances for light snow increase over most of the Northland Thursday night as light snow spreads south/east across the area.

Light snow may linger through most of the day Friday as low pressure and cold front will be slow to move out of the area.

Northeast winds will develop near Lake Superior in wake of the cold frontal passage Thursday night with northeast winds expected to continue on Friday. Some lake effect/lake enhanced snow is possible near Lake Superior late Thursday night into Friday with the NE wind and wide open lake. It also looks a little breezy near Lake Superior with wind gusts of 15 to 25 mph expected from late Thursday night into Friday so some patchy blowing snow could develop especially if we get some new snow.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly clear. Low 4 to 9. Wind south to southwest around 10 mph.

.Thursday… Partly to mostly sunny. High 25 to 30. Wind south to southwest 5 to 15 mph.

.Thursday night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow possible late. Low 15 to 20. Wind becoming east to northeast 5 to 15 mph.

.Friday… Breezy with some light snow. Patchy blowing snow possible. High 20 to 25. Wind east to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

Normal temperatures for February 6

High 22
Low 3

Sunrise Thursday 7:27 AM CST
Sunset Thursday 5:19 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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