Light snow late tonight and Friday; mainly dry this weekend

Around an inch or less of snow for most of the Northland through Friday, but 1 to 3 inch totals are possible near Lake Superior, generally from around Silver Bay and Two Harbors to the Twin Ports, Port Wing, Bayfield and Ashland.

We’ve got another batch of cold air sitting north of the area today with late Thursday afternoon temperatures in the single digits in Manitoba and Ontario, while farther south out ahead of the cold front, temperatures were in the mid 20s to around 30 degrees this afternoon. Friday looks colder across the Northland with the coldest temperatures up near the Ontario border.

Here’s the radar forecast from the 18z NAM-WRF model valid 7 PM Thursday to Noon Friday.

Not a lot of snow, but could be just enough to grease up the roads in parts of the Northland for the Friday morning commute.

Source: https://weathermodels.com/

A fast moving winter storm will spread a swath of 4″+ snowfall totals from south-central Minnesota to eastern Wisconsin on Sunday. Model guidance remains in good agreement today on the track of Sunday’s system with the majority of the forecast models keeping it on a southerly track, missing most of the Northland.

Note: There could be a little snow on Sunday from around Pine City and Hinckley, east to the Hayward Lakes, but the heaviest snow looks to fall south of these areas.

Goes-16 visible satellite imagery showing the stripe of accumulating snow which fell on Wednesday from northern Texas to central Oklahoma, but also note how the snow cover starts to disappear this afternoon in south-central Oklahoma as temperatures warmed into the middle 30s and lower 40s under mainly sunny skies.

Source: https://weather.cod.edu/

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Low temperature forecast for Friday morning, February 7th, 2020. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Friday, February 7th, 2020.

…Weather Summary…

Clouds have been slow to increase this afternoon, but that will change tonight as a cold front over far northern Minnesota this afternoon moves south through the remainder of the Northland tonight while weak low pressure moves southeast out of central Minnesota.

Lift is rather weak with tonight’s system, so I’m not expecting a whole lot of snow. There will be areas of light snow and flurries spreading north to south across the Northland tonight with lingering light snow and flurries on Friday.

Winds near Lake Superior will become northeasterly late tonight through Friday, and with 850mb temperatures of around -12 to -18C and only 3% ice coverage, this does open up the possibility for some lake enhanced/lake effect snow along the North Shore and South Shore of Lake Superior on Friday, but this also doesn’t look like it would amount to very much.

So to summarize – A little snow for parts of the Northland, possibly enough to cause some slick spots on the roads late tonight and Friday, but really not a big deal.

Lows tonight will range from the single digits below to around 10 below in far northern Minnesota to the teens above zero in eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Cooler on Friday with highs in the single digits to lower 20s with the warmest temperatures covering eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Winds will become north to northeast tonight and will remain out of the north to northeast on Friday at 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph near Lake Superior.

Weather looks pretty quiet around here this weekend with the main story being Sunday’s snow maker which looks to miss the Northland to the south. Highs Saturday and Sunday are forecast to be in the teens and 20s, nothing too cold or warm for this time of the year.

Next week, not much going on with the weather, split flow, no fun for us. Bigger systems stay well to our south/east, unless we get the jet streams to phase enough which looks unlikely right now.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Increasing cloudiness. Becoming breezy late. Some light snow developing after Midnight. Low 10 to 15. Wind southwest 5 to 15 mph becoming northeast 10 to 20 mph late.

.Friday… Occasional light snow and flurries. Total snowfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. Mostly cloudy (few peeks of sun) Breezy with patchy blowing snow possible. Cooler. High 15 to 20. Wind northeast 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 20 to 25. Wind southwest 10 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for February 7

High 22
Low 4

Sunrise Friday 7:26 AM CST
Sunset Friday 5:21 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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