Dry tonight; a few showers possible Saturday afternoon/Saturday night

The weather pattern over the next few days will be dominated by an upper level low to our northwest. A couple of disturbances and cold frontal boundaries will move through the upper Midwest into early next week as they spin around the upper low.

There is a chance for some rain showers at times across the Northland this weekend into early next week, although widespread all days rains are not expected at the moment.

Here’s a look at the 500mb forecast valid through early Tuesday morning, June 23, 2020.

Notice the location of the upper level low which will be over Manitoba province tonight, and then over the the Ontario-Minnesota border region by Monday. This system will keep conditions a little unsettled into early next week, but our weather still doesn’t look too bad as temps remain on the mild side with plenty of dry hours mixed in between the rain showers through early next week.

Source: 18z NAM model 6.19.2020; https://weather.cod.edu

Simulated radar forecast valid from 7 AM Saturday to 7 PM Sunday.

Most of the day Saturday looks dry in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, but some rain is possible mainly over northwest Wisconsin with a lesser chance over eastern Minnesota from about late Saturday afternoon through early Sunday morning.

A few more showers could develop on Sunday.

As for temperatures this weekend – Highs Saturday and Sunday are forecast to be in the 70s, although an east wind on Saturday will keep it cooler near Lake Superior.

Source: 18z NAM 3km model 6.19.2020; https://weathermodels.com

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Rainfall totals across the Northland over the last 2 days varied considerably, pretty typical pattern for this time of the year. The most widespread/heaviest rainfall totals were mostly west and south of the Northland, although far western portions of the area were impacted by those higher rainfall totals (Walker & Cass Lake areas)

Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com

24 Hour Rainfall Reports from June 18-19, 2020

Source: https://www.weather.gov/dlh/

1 W Cass Lake, MN: 2.04″

Loman, MN: 1.82″

Federal Dam, MN: 1.45″

9 NW Ball Club, MN: 1.39″

Walker, MN: 1.20″

4.1 NNE Duluth, MN: 0.98″

1.4 NNW Duluth, MN: 0.89″

Two Harbors, MN: 0.83″

Morgan Park, MN: 0.55″

Kabetogama, MN: 0.47″

International Falls, MN: 0.38″

Effie, MN: 0.37″

Deer River, MN: 0.29″

Walker, MN: 0.24″

Littlefork, MN: 0.23″

1.5 NNW Superior, WI: 0.18″

Hinckley, MN: 0.16″

Saginaw, MN: 0.14″

Lutsen, MN: 0.13″

Glidden, WI: 0.11″

Siren, WI: 0.11″

Chishom-Hibbing Airport: 0.10″

Cotton, MN: 0.08″

Esko, MN: 0.06″

Wolf Ridge, MN: 0.06″

South Range, WI: 0.05″

Grand Rapids, MN: 0.05″

Pine River, MN: 0.05″

Wrenshall, MN: 0.04″

Ely, MN: 0.02″

Superior Airport: 0.02″

Bruno, MN: 0.02″

Grand Marais Airport: 0.01″

Hayward, WI: 0.01″

Moose Lake, MN: 0.01″

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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