A little cooler Thursday; record/near record warmth possible Friday through Sunday

A ‘cold front’ will be moving through the Northland late tonight, this front will come through dry, but this front will help knock our temperatures down a notch on Thursday thanks to a cooler air mass which will move over the area with 850mb temps falling to around +7 to +11C which is still very warm for November, but instead of highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s like we’ve seen the last few days, highs on Thursday will be in the mid 50s to low 60s which is still well above normal for the time of year.

Warmth resurges Friday thru the weekend with highs mainly in the 60s, but a few 70s are likely across parts of the area Friday, Saturday and Sunday, but it will be cooler along the North Shore of Lake Superior due to a southerly wind this weekend.

Warm temperature records shattered for November 4th, and for the month of November across the Northland.

New record highs set today, November 4th, 2020

Brainerd, MN: New record 75 degrees; old record 73 degrees set November 4, 1975.

International Falls, MN: New record 74 degrees; old record 67 degrees set November 4, 1975.

Duluth, MN: New record 73 degrees; old record 69 degrees set November 4, 1975 and tied in 2016.

Hibbing, MN: 71 degrees – this ties the record high for November 4th which was set in 1975.

Monthly high temperature records for November broken or tied across the Northland on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Ashland, WI: New record 75 degrees set 11/3/2020; old record 74 degrees set 11/1/1933, and tied on 11/4/1975.

Brainerd, MN: New record 75 degrees set 11/4/2020; old record 73 degrees set 11/4/1975.

International Falls, MN: New record 74 degrees set 11/4/2020; old record 73 degrees set 11/5/1975.

Duluth, MN: 73 degrees set 11/4/2020 – this ties the warmest temperature on record for November which was set on 11/3/1975.
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Crazy warm across the area once again today with widespread 70s on this 4th of November 2020. Note: Look at those 80s in southwestern Minnesota this afternoon, wow! Feeling a little July like in early November.

Temps this afternoon were running anywhere from 20 to 30+ degrees above normal across the Northern Plains and upper Midwest for the 2nd day in a row.

Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Warm/Pacific air mass with high 500mb heights dominate most of the US again today with lower heights and a much colder air mass bottled up well to the north.

Record warmth has been widespread across the western and northern US over the past 24 hours with all those orange and red dots on the animation below representing stations that tied or broke daily and or monthly temperature records during the 24-hour period from 4 PM Tuesday to 4 PM Wednesday, November 3-4, 2020.

Source: http://coolwx.com/

About the only bad news about the very warm weather this week is the fact that it remains very dry across the area. Note: Duluth, Minnesota is running >3.60″ below normal in precipitation since September 1st, and >10.00″ below normal since January 1st, so it’s no surprise that fire danger was rated as Moderate to High across all of Minnesota today, November 4th, 2020 per MNDNR.

Look at all those fire icons over the last 24 hours.

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Still looking at two shots for precipitation across parts of the Northland next week.

The first system Sunday and Monday should mainly be a rain maker in our area as will remain on the warm side of a low pressure system which lifts NE through the Northern Plains. The timing of this system has slowed a bit, thus rain chances will be at their greatest either Sunday afternoon or Sunday night into Monday morning the way it looks now.

Note: A second system could develop sometime next Monday or Tuesday (most likely in the red shaded area on map) where this system tracks if it develops remains uncertain today, but there is a chance if it tracks far enough to the west that it could bring a round of accumulating snow to parts of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin late Tuesday into Wednesday (November 10th-11th)

Stay tuned

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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