Warm and Dry through the weekend (record/near record warmth possible)

Arctic air is out there, but it’s bottled up well to the NW over parts of Alaska into Yukon where temperatures are well below zero this afternoon. No signs this arctic air will be moving southeast into the Northland anytime soon, although next week will turn much cooler, but next week’s temps will just be closer to normal for early November. What is normal in early November? Highs around 40, lows in the 20s.

Highs today across the Northland ranged from the lower 50s in far northern areas to the lower 60s from east-central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin, so cooler compared to the last few days, but still well above normal for this time of year.

Note: Highs Friday, Saturday and Sunday are forecast to be in the 60s, with some locations likely getting into the 70s. Temperatures could be quite a bit cooler though near Lake Superior especially along the North Shore where a south to southeast wind is expected through the weekend which could keep temps in the 40s, and this cooler lake air may also impact the Twin Ports Friday and or Saturday, it will just depend on wind direction (ENE wind, cooler) vs. (S wind, warmer)

We might tie or break a few of these records on Friday

***Record Highs for November 6th***

Ashland: 72 F set in 2016

Brainerd: 72 F set in 1975

International Falls: 71 F set in 2016

Duluth: 70 F set in 2016

Hibbing: 68 F set in 2016


A big ridge remains anchored over the central/southern Rockies today. This ridge shows up nicely on visible satellite imagery as cloud cover moves up and around the ridge, while skies are generally clear under the ridge axis today.

Source: https://weather.cod.edu/

The pattern is starting to become more active today, and this trend will continue into next week as a strong trough sets up over the western US.

Although the weather for us locally will remain on the quiet side through most of this weekend, it does appear that our weather will become a little more active/interesting next week.

Low pressure will pass well west of the Northland this weekend, but this low will help drag a cold front through the area sometime early next week, and this is when some rain will be possible across northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. Note: Timing of this rain continues to slow down in model data, it now appears that most of the rain will fall on Monday.

I’m still keeping an eye on a second system which could develop and affect portions of the upper Midwest/Great Lakes around the middle of next week. Still a lot of differences in the models on the track, timing and intensity of any system next week so check back for updates over the next few days.

If this system does develop, it should have colder air to work with, thus an area of accumulating snow or a rain to snow scenario is possible across parts of the Northland next week.

Thanks for reading!


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