Blustery and cold tonight, wind chill advisory in effect for parts of northeast Minnesota; some snow late Saturday afternoon/night

What a change in air masses across the Northland over the last day or so!

The high in Duluth on Wednesday was 35 degrees, this after a morning low of -5 degrees. Fast forward to today, and our high was 33 degrees which occurred just before 1 this morning, but temps have been dropping quickly this afternoon, and as of 4 PM today the temperature was down to 8 degrees. With quick temperature changes occurring there’s no doubt that it’s gonna be windy! Check out the peak wind gusts from today, Thursday, January 21, 2021.

Source: https://www.weather.gov/dlh/

  • Blatnik Bridge: 61 mph
  • Grand Marais: 54 mph
  • Devils Island: 46 mph
  • Ashland: 45 mph
  • Duluth Airport: 45 mph
  • Chisholm-Hibbing Airport: 45 mph
  • Brainerd: 44 mph
  • Duluth Harbor: 43 mph
  • Cloquet: 41 mph
  • International Falls: 41 mph
  • Two Harbors: 40 mph

…Weekend Snow Chances…

We’re not looking at a major snow event by any means, but chances that we pick up a little snow look pretty good, with most of the snow falling from late Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Timing of the snow for Duluth and Superior looks to be from around 6 PM Saturday to 6 AM Sunday (but the timing will probably change a bit in coming days) As for snow totals, right now it looks like about 1 to 2 inches of snow in the Twin Ports, and most of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin looks to be in that 1 to 2 inch range, with a few 3 inch totals possible if snow lingers a little longer, or if QPF totals end up a little higher. This snow will be fluffy, so snow to liquid ratios look pretty high, and will probably end up in the 15:1 to 18:1 range.

Duluth has only picked up 19% of its normal snowfall so far this month (thru the 21st) while International Falls has been doing a little better at 42%, so yes we need some snow around here! Duluth has only picked up 2.6″ of snow so far this month, while 4.5″ of snow has fallen at International Falls.

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A shot of cold/arctic air has moved into the Northern Plains and upper Midwest today after yesterday’s brief but significant warm-up.

Temps this afternoon compared to Wednesday afternoon are running 20 to as much as 35 degrees colder from the Dakotas to Minnesota.

Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Various runs throughout the day per HRRR model have consistently shown the potential for strong wind gusts along the North Shore of Lake Superior tonight with wind gusts of 30 to 55 mph possible. If these wind gusts verify and become widespread enough, a wind advisory may be needed for portions of the North Shore tonight.

Shown below is the 20z HRRR model run wind gust forecast ending 8 AM Friday.

Source: https://weathermodels.com/

A Wind Chill Advisory has been issued for parts of northeast Minnesota from Midnight tonight to 9 AM Friday (light blue area on map)

Some cities included in the advisory: Ely, Cook, Hibbing and Isabella.

Wind chills as low as 25 below to 30 below zero.

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Latest drought monitor as of January 19, 2021

Source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Minnesota

  • 24% of the state is in D1 or Moderate Drought (light orange)
  • 0.28% of the state is in D2 or Severe Drought (dark orange)
  • 100% of the state is Abnormally Dry (yellow)

Wisconsin

  • 46% of the state is Abnormally Dry (yellow)

Tim

2 Comments

  1. Gary Bright says:

    When you get a chance , try to take a shot at what February may be like . I may have to keep the neighbor’s driveway clear for that month . They’ll be in Florida , they’re more risky than we are .

    1. burrweather says:

      Will do! I’ll have a long range forecast for February sometime next week (most likely later in the week)

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