Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely over parts of the Northland today (Wednesday) Updated outlook

Conditions appear to be coming together for a higher end severe weather day across the Northland, but especially from far eastern Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin. Stay Weather Aware today! Note: Multiple rounds of storms could impact some parts of the Northland through this evening.

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing widespread damaging wind gusts, very large hail and possible tornadoes are expected late this afternoon and this evening across far east-central Minnesota into much of Wisconsin.

There is a Moderate Risk (4/5) for severe thunderstorms (red area) for today over far southeast portions of the Northland, generally along and east of a line from Pine City to Hinckley, and south of a line from around Solon Springs to Hayward to Winter. Note: Moderate risks aren’t issued very often in the Northland.

An enhanced (orange) and slight (yellow) risk for severe thunderstorms covers areas farther north and northwest of the Moderate risk area, while a marginal risk (dark green) covers far northern Minnesota into portions of the Arrowhead.

Timing: Scattered showers and thunderstorms could begin in the Northland this morning, but chances for strong to severe storms are greatest from this afternoon through this evening (~2 PM to 9 PM) Storms are expected to move southeastward through the area.

Note: The severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center is updated a few times a day, with the next update coming by 8 this morning, and another one around 11:30 this morning, so will see if any changes are made to their outlook at those times.

Today’s severe weather risk is maxed out in the MODERATE category, or a 4 out of 5. A pretty good chance for severe weather.

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06z NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid from 7 AM to midnight Wednesday.

06z HRRR model simulated radar forecast valid from 7 AM to midnight Wednesday.

Tim

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