Snow on the way! Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories in effect for parts of the Northland; Arctic blast mid to late week

5:35 PM Monday, January 3, 2022

The weather over the last few weeks is reminding me of how winters use to be around here, you know first it warms up, then it snows, then we get a blast of cold arctic air, and rinse and repeat! No prolonged stretches of dry and warm or dry and cold weather, instead we continue to see a pretty active weather pattern with quite a few changes to mix things up, nice to see!

We had the arctic air this past weekend, now we’re starting to warm up a bit, and now the snow comes, and after the snow will come another shot of arctic air for later this week.

TIMING OF THE SNOW

We may see some lake effect snow showers affect the North Shore of Lake Superior during the day Tuesday, but the remainder of the Northland should stay dry through Tuesday morning.

Snow is expected to become more widespread while spreading from NW-SE Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. Snow will start earliest in northern Minnesota and may not begin in northwest Wisconsin until later Tuesday evening.

For Duluth: A few snow showers are possible during the day Tuesday, but snow chances increase further Tuesday evening with snow continuing Tuesday night into Wednesday before coming to an end Wednesday afternoon. The bulk of the accumulating snow with this system falls Tuesday night and Wednesday in Duluth.

European computer model simulated radar forecast valid 6 PM Tuesday to 6 PM Wednesday (snow in blue colors).

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WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES

  • Winter Storm Warning in effect from 9 PM Tuesday to 9 PM Wednesday for a portion of the South Shore of Lake Superior including the cities of Port Wing, Bayfield, Washburn, Ashland, Hurley and Gile.
  • Winter Weather Advisory in effect from Noon Tuesday until Noon Wednesday for the North Shore of Lake Superior including the cities of Two Harbors, Silver Bay, Tofte, Lutsen, Grand Marais and Hovland.
  • Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 6 PM Tuesday to Noon Wednesday including the cities of Ely, Cook, Crane Lake, Hibbing, Virginia, Duluth, Cloquet and Moose Lake.
  • Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 9 PM Tuesday to Noon Wednesday including the cities of Superior, Solon Springs, Hayward and Winter.

IMPACTS

-Plan on slippery road conditions.
-Travel could be very difficult near Lake Superior due to falling and blowing snow.
-Near whiteout conditions are possible along the South Shore of Lake Superior along Highway 13 and Highway 2 around the Bayfield Peninsula and Chequamegon Bay. These hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday morning commute and may lead to near impossible travel conditions.

SNOWFALL FORECAST

For Duluth: I’m going with 2-5″ of snow by Wednesday afternoon. Areas of blowing snow Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. East to northeast winds gusting 15 to 25 mph Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening, with north to northwest winds 15 to 25 mph late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Here’s my snowfall forecast for Tuesday through Wednesday.

Highest amounts in the 5-10″ range near Lake Superior, with up to a foot of snow possible along the South Shore from the Bayfield Peninsula and Ashland areas, east to Hurley.

A general 2-to-5-inch snowfall for the rest of the Northland.

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A regional view of the winter weather alerts for Tuesday into Wednesday.

We may see blizzard conditions develop over parts of eastern North Dakota into far western Minnesota, and possibly even along the South Shore of Lake Superior (black outlined area) on Wednesday.

Widespread winter weather impacts are expected Tuesday and Wednesday from the northern Plains into the upper Midwest and Western Great Lakes either due to strong winds and blowing snow, or from falling snow, or a combination of the two.

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Our system for Tuesday and Wednesday is of clipper origin as it digs SE out of western Canada and the northern Rockies. This system is forecast to reach peak intensity as it moves across the upper Great Lakes on Wednesday.

GUSTY WINDS

Northeast winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 35 mph are possible along the North Shore of Lake Superior Tuesday into Tuesday evening.

Winds become north to northwest late Tuesday night and Wednesday with gusts >30 mph possible near Lake Superior.

Areas of blowing snow are likely near Lake Superior due to the gusty winds from late Tuesday into Wednesday.

TEMPERATURE CONTRAST

Will be seeing another big contrast in temperatures on Tuesday, ranging from around the freezing mark in southwest Minnesota to the single digits above zero in northwest Minnesota with even colder temperatures farther to our north, and even warmer temperatures farther to our south, with temperatures near 70 in the Texas Panhandle Tuesday afternoon.

Low pressure off to our southwest late Tuesday morning with warmer air found north/east of the surface low, while colder arctic air rushes in behind the low.

Tim

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