Subzero temperatures return tonight; above freezing highs Tuesday; Accumulating snow (possible mixed precip) Thursday/Thursday night

5:44 PM Sunday, February 6, 2022

Very cold temperatures will return to the Northland tonight with lows ranging from around 5 below to 20 below zero. The good news is that after tonight we likely won’t see subzero temperatures return again until next weekend.

Highs on Monday will remain on the cool side (slightly below average for early February) with highs mainly in the teens.

A nice warmup continues to look likely on Tuesday with temperatures by the afternoon rising above the freezing mark to as warm as 40 degrees in much of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

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Seasonal Snowfall Totals for 2021-2022 thru February 6, 2022

Marquette, MI: 116.5″, normal 119.5″, -3.0″ below normal (97% of normal snowfall)

Duluth, MN: Total 52.8″, normal 55.3″, -2.5″ below normal (95% of normal snowfall)

Grand Forks, ND: Total 48.1″, normal 29.7″, +18.4″ above normal (162% of normal snowfall)

International Falls, MN: Total 45.1″, normal 47.8″, -2.7″ below normal (94% of normal snowfall)

Twin Cities, MN: Total 33.9″, normal 31.8″, +2.1″ above normal (107% of normal snowfall)

Green Bay, WI: Total 29.5″, normal 33.5″, -4.0″ below normal (88% of normal snowfall)

Sioux Falls, SD: Total 13.5″, normal 26.1″, -12.6″ below normal (52% of normal snowfall)

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We do have a few chances for snow this week, the first comes Tuesday evening/overnight, but this snow shouldn’t amount to much, with the highest totals of an inch or two confined to far northern Minnesota, and also in the snowbelt region of northwest Wisconsin (Hurley and Gile areas) where up to 3 inches of snow may accumulate due to a period of lake effect snow Tuesday night-Wednesday morning. The rest of the Northland is forecast to get <1″ of snow out of this system.

A much stronger clipper system is forecast to affect the Northland in the Thursday afternoon-Thursday night time frame, and this one has a chance to produce a few inches of snow in much of our area.

Probabilities for >3″ of snow are currently highest north of Duluth, and also over parts of northwest Wisconsin for the system later this week.

A surge of warm air will accompany a clipper system late this week, but it’s uncertain if this warm air will be able to make it into the Northland as it will depend on the track of the low, but there is a chance that temperatures will climb above the freezing mark in parts of the Northland Thursday evening, and if precipitation lingers into Thursday evening, then we may see a transition from snow to freezing rain or even plain rain for a brief period of time.

The European computer model (shown below) is quite aggressive in shoving the warmer air (above freezing temperatures) into much of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin for Thursday evening before more cold air moves in by Friday morning.

Tim

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