6:47 PM Friday, February 25, 2022
Second morning in a row with a record low temperature at International Falls, Minnesota.
New record low for 2/25: -40 F
Old record low for 2/25: -38 F set in 1909
Note: This morning’s low of -40 at International Falls marked the 4th time this winter with a low temperature of -40 or colder, and all 4 of those have occurred this month. The record for greatest number of nights with a low of -40 or colder during a winter at International Falls is 6 and that record was set in 1966.
International Falls has also set a record for greatest number of nights with a low of -40 or colder for the month of February. February 2022 has had 4 nights at or colder than -40. Previous record was 3 nights set in 1966.
Another night of subzero temperatures tonight although not nearly as cold as it has been the last few nights. Lows tonight will range from around zero to 10 below zero in the Northland.
Temperatures will warm well into the 20s with even some lower 30s in the Northland on Saturday which is right around what our normal high is here in late February.
The pattern looks to become more active once again as we head into next week.
Looks like we may see a few clipper systems affect parts of the upper Midwest early to mid-next week, and this may be followed by a stronger system coming out of the Rockies sometime in the March 4-7 time frame, with more systems possible beyond March 7.
500mb height anomaly forecast valid March 4-12, 2022
Note how the blue and even green colors take over on the loop below, that’s a sign of lower 500mb heights and possible troughs/low pressure systems. One thing that is lacking (for now) is signs of upper-level ridging, or higher heights/quiet-mild weather across the upper Midwest. So, it’s certainly possible we may be seeing a fairly cool and active first half of March in the Northland. Time will tell.
EPS model probability for 6 inches or more of snow thru March 12, 2022.
Continuing to see fairly high probabilities for seeing 6 inches or more of snow in much of the Northland thru March 12, with those odds really increasing after March 4.
And the GEFS model is in good agreement with the EPS model regarding snow amounts, with the purple colors on the images below representing 6 inches or more of snow thru March 13, 2022.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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