Gusty NE winds with much cooler temps near Lake Superior Saturday and Sunday, milder temps inland; Much cooler temps area-wide late next week with possible snow flurries in far northern MN

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5:41 PM Friday, September 30, 2022

Weather perfection in the Northland on this final day of September 2022!

Mostly sunny skies, southerly breezes and high temps in the upper 60s to lower 70s in the Northland today, but a change in the weather takes place on Saturday especially for locations near Lake Superior as a northeast wind develops while increasing to 15 to 30 mph. Areas of low clouds and some drizzle is also possible near Lake Superior this weekend.

Temperatures are running about +10 to +15 degrees warmer than normal across the Northland today.

There continues to be a chance for a few rain showers at times across the Northland this weekend, but widespread rain is unlikely, and for those locales that happen to get a shower, rainfall totals won’t amount to much.

18z NAM 3km model radar forecast valid through 7 AM Sunday.

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LONG RANGE FORECAST

We are looking at a pattern change mid to late next week with a shot of chilly air affecting the Northland.

Daytime highs only in the 40s to around 50 are possible in our area next Thursday-Friday, October 6-7, and there is even a chance that we could see a few snow showers or mixed showers in far northern Minnesota and also along the South Shore of Lake Superior in northwest Wisconsin later next week.

Here’s a look at the temperature anomaly for October 5-10, 2022.

Warmest temps compared to average will be focused over the far western U.S. into western Canada, while the coolest temps compared to average will be focused over the eastern U.S.

The Northland can expect a shot of cool/below normal temps mid to late next week but there are indications showing up in model guidance for a warming trend to occur again ~8th to 10th of October.

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September 2022 Climate Stats for the Northland

Average monthly temperatures finished about +1 to nearly +3 degrees warmer than average, while precipitation was below average for the month, except at Ashland which had slightly above average precipitation for the month.

Precipitation — Total, departure from normal and percent of normal for September 2022

Ashland, WI:
Total: 3.05″
Departure: +0.02″ above normal
Percent of normal precip: 101% of normal

Duluth, MN:
Total: 2.73″
Departure: -0.75″ below normal
Percent of normal precip: 78% of normal

Hibbing, MN:
Total: 2.56″
Departure: -0.50″ below normal
Percent of normal precip: 84% of normal

International Falls, MN:
Total: 2.36″
Departure: -0.64″ below normal
Percent of normal precip: 79% of normal

Brainerd, MN:
Total: 2.00″
Departure: -0.60″ below normal
Percent of normal precip: 77% of normal

53% of days in September 2022 were warmer than average in Duluth compared to 37% of days which were cooler than average, while 10% of days were neither above average nor below average, but instead right at the normal value for the date.

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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