5:30 PM Monday, October 3, 2022
-There won’t be a whole lot of change in the weather across the Northland through Wednesday. Mild temperatures will continue for now with daytime highs in the mid 60s to low 70s Tuesday and Wednesday. Isolated rain showers will also continue into midweek as a slow-moving trough and cold front approach the area from the Dakotas, but widespread heavy rain is unlikely with this system.
-The pattern begins to change after the passage of Wednesday’s cold front as will start to tap into a much colder air mass which continues to build and expand across far northern Canada where temperatures are in the single digits below zero to 20s above zero today. This air mass will modify quite a bit by the time it reaches this far south (it’s only October) so we’re not looking at daytime temperatures quite that cold, yet, but it will still be pretty chilly for this time of the year as we get into Thursday and Friday with daytime highs mainly in the 40s in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin with overnight lows in the 20s and 30s.
-As temperatures aloft continue to cool, and thickness values lower, there is a chance that will see a few snow showers or mixed rain/snow showers in parts of the Northland on Thursday, with the Arrowhead and South Shore areas having the greatest chance for this precipitation.
A rather amplified weather pattern in place today with a trough over the Northern Plains with another trough covering the eastern U.S., while ridging covered the Central Plains and far western portions of the U.S. today.
Here’s what the pattern looks like via Goes-16 water vapor imagery.
Monday, October 3, 2022.
Lots of colors on the map below, but this rain won’t amount to much for those that do get a shower or two through Tuesday evening.
18z NAM 3km model radar forecast through 7 PM Tuesday.
COOLER TIMES AHEAD!
Looks like will be seeing more frequent shots of cool air in the Northland starting later this week and then continuing into next week, but this doesn’t mean we won’t still see a day or two of milder temperatures mixed in (highs in the 50s and 60s), but the overall trend is for cooler than normal temperatures during the October 5-15 time frame.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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