6:16 PM Friday, October 14, 2022
Nothing like going from temps of around 80-degrees earlier this week (Tuesday), to thunderstorms Tuesday night, to a 1-to-3-inch snowfall just a few days later, all in the same week!
This morning’s snowfall was just a friendly reminder from Mother Nature that winter is coming, not that we needed this reminder living where we do.
Record Snowfall at Duluth, Minnesota today with 2.0 inches of snow, this is a new snowfall record for October 14th. The previous snowiest October 14th occurred in 1959 with 0.5 inches of snow.
A chilly weather pattern continues into early next week with another round of snow or rain likely in parts of the Northland Saturday morning followed by scattered snow/rain showers Saturday afternoon and again on Sunday.
A reinforcing shot of cold air arrives on Sunday, and peaks Monday and Tuesday with daytime highs only in the 30s to around 40 in the Northland.
Scattered rain or snow showers will continue across the area this evening followed by a more widespread area of snow or rain which will move southeast out of northern Minnesota early Saturday morning with precipitation then expected to continue through late morning on Saturday, this will be followed by more isolated rain or snow showers for Saturday afternoon.
Note: Temperatures both aloft and at the surface look to be slightly warmer Saturday morning compared to the temperatures we saw to support Friday morning’s snowfall.
For Duluth — Some snow or rain is possible Saturday morning from around 4 AM to 11 AM. Total snowfall accumulations of an inch or less.
18z NAM 3km model radar forecast through 7 PM Saturday.
Snow (blue)
Rain (green)
Snowfall accumulations ranging from a trace to 2 inches are possible in much of northern Minnesota and far northern Wisconsin Saturday morning.
| Snowfall Reports for Friday, October 14, 2022 Source: NWS Duluth, MN Proctor, MN: 3.0″ Moose Lake, MN: 2.6″ 1 NNW Cloquet, MN: 2.5″ 1 NE Esko, MN: 2.5″ 1 E Hertel, WI: 2.5″ 1 SSW Cloquet, MN: 2.3″ 3 W Lester Park, MN: 2.2″ 5 SSE Libby, MN: 2.2″ 2 WNW Duluth, MN: 2.1″ Duluth, MN (NWS) 2.0″ 1 SE Rice Lake, MN: 2.0″ 6 E Patzau, WI: 2.0″ Floodwood, MN: 1.9″ International Falls, MN: 1.8″ 7 WNW Pine River, MN: 1.8″ 6 SSE Wales, MN: 1.7″ Foxboro, WI: 1.6″ 1 W Solon Springs, WI: 1.6″ Buyck, MN: 1.5″ Culver, MN: 1.5″ 1 SSW Grantsburg, WI: 1.5″ 2 NW Stone Lake, WI: 1.5″ 3 E Orr, MN: 1.4″ 6 SSW Grand Rapids, MN: 1.3″ 6 SW Finlayson, MN: 1.3″ 3 ENE Wright, MN: 1.2″ Keewatin, MN: 1.2″ 3 W Island Lake, MN: 1.2″ 1 WSW Maple, WI: 1.1″ 7 SSE Webb Lake, WI: 1.0″ 12 N Grand Rapids, MN: 1.0″ Cass Lake, MN: 0.9″ 3 WNW Clam Lake, WI: 0.8″ |
A strong upper-level low pressure system continues to move slowly to the south/east across the upper Midwest today.
Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Friday, October 14, 2022 (loop time ends 4:01 PM)
Here’s a Goes-16 water vapor loop which shows a strong upper-level trough covering the upper Midwest and Great Lakes today.
Loop time ends 4:06 PM Friday, October 14, 2022.
Upper level low just dancing around through early next week.
One upper low has moved into far northern Wisconsin late today with temperatures at around 18,000 feet (500mb) as low as -32C under this low, but an even stronger upper-level low drops S-SE over Lake Superior Sunday night, and reaches the eastern Great Lakes area on Monday with 500mb temperatures possibly as low as -36C.
A significant lake effect snow event is possible Sunday evening through early Tuesday along the South Shore of Lake Superior in northern Wisconsin and upper Michigan with a potential for >6″ of snow along with gusty northerly winds which will cause areas of blowing snow. Winter weather headlines will likely be needed for this event late this weekend into early next week.
A pattern change is possible later next week into early the following week and this new pattern could bring warmer temperatures back to the Northland later next week with a chance for high temperatures to get back into the 50s and possibly even into the 60s from around October 20-24.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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