Past February snowfall totals and temperature anomalies for Duluth; Long range forecast for February 2023

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5:06 PM Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Normals and Extremes for February at Duluth, Minnesota

Normal high on the 1st: 21 degrees
Normal high on the 28th: 30 degrees

Normal low on the 1st: 2 degrees
Normal low on the 28th: 11 degrees

Average monthly temperature: 15.4 degrees

Highest: 31.3 degrees set in February 1877
Lowest: -2.2 degrees set in February 1936

Normal precipitation: 1.01″

Wettest: 4.24″ set in February 1922
Driest: 0.10″ set in February 1896

Normal snowfall: 15.1″

Snowiest: 36.4″ set in February 2019
Least snowy: 1.0″ set in February 1896

Average number of subzero nights in February: 10

Most: 24 set in February 1875
Fewest: 0 set in February 1998, 1882, 1878 and 1877

Average number of days with at least 0.1″ snowfall: 11
Average number of days with at least 1.0″ of snowfall: 5

Note — Average date for the first 40-degree temperature in Duluth is February 11th (1875-2022 climate period)

Astronomical Data for February

Sunrise on the 1st: 7:33 AM CST
Sunrise on the 28th: 6:50 AM CST

Sunset on the 1st: 5:12 PM CST
Sunset on the 28th: 5:52 PM CST
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February Snowfall Totals at Duluth, Minnesota (2012-2022)
Normal snowfall in February is 15.1″

2012: 19.7″
2013: 19.1″
2014: 29.5″
2015: 8.2″
2016: 12.2″
2017: 14.1″
2018: 24.2″
2019: 36.4″
2020: 5.4″
2021: 8.6″
2022: 24.2″

Since 2012 — 6 Februarys have had above average snowfall in Duluth while 5 had below average snowfall.

Note

-February 2019 was the snowiest February on record
-February 2014 was the 6th snowiest February on record
-February 2018 was the 9th snowiest February on record

Temperature Anomalies for February at Duluth, Minnesota (2012-2022)
Average monthly temperature in February is 15.4 degrees.

Average monthly temperature in parentheses

2012: +8.3 degrees above average (23.7 F)
2013: -0.8 degrees below average (14.6 F)
2014: -10.1 degrees below average (5.3 F)
2015: -10.2 degrees below average (5.2 F)
2016: +1.9 degrees above average (17.3 F)
2017: +7.1 degrees above average (22.5 F)
2018: -5.1 degrees below average (10.3 F)
2019: -4.8 degrees below average (10.6 F)
2020: -1.0 degree below average (14.4 F)
2021: -8.2 degrees below average (7.2 F)
2022: -9.5 degrees below average (5.9 F)

Note

-February 2012 was the 6th warmest February on record
-February 2017 was the 10th warmest February on record


-February 2015 was the 10th coldest February on record

Since 2012 — 8 Februarys were colder than average in Duluth while 3 were warmer than average.

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CFS model temperature anomaly trend for February 2023

Orange and Red: Above average temperatures
Blues: Below average temperatures

For Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin — CFS model predicts warmer than average temperatures for February 2023.

CFS model precipitation anomaly trend for February 2023

Greens: Above average precipitation
Yellow and Brown: Below average precipitation

For Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin — CFS model predicts near normal to slightly above normal precipitation for February 2023.

Note: 27/50 or 54% of Euro ensemble members show warmer than average temperatures in Duluth for February 2023, while 23/50 or 46% show colder than average temperatures.

Highest temperature anomaly per EPS 50-member model: +5.4 degrees above normal

Lowest temperature anomaly per EPS 50-member model: -5.7 degrees below average

The average temperature anomaly of all 50 members is +0.5 degrees warmer than normal.

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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