6:31 PM Friday, January 26, 2024
More fog is likely in the Northland tonight through Saturday morning with some dense fog with visibilities of one quarter mile or less likely especially near Lake Superior including for Two Harbors, Duluth, Floodwood, Cloquet, Moose Lake, Superior, Solon Springs, Bayfield, Ashland, and Hurley.
Note: Computer models are showing slightly stronger winds developing during the night which may make it difficult for fog to become as widespread or as dense as we’ve seen the past few nights.
A few rain, snow or mixed showers are possible in parts of the Northland next Monday-early Tuesday as a potent low moves south-southeast out of central Canada into the Great Lakes, but this system won’t have much moisture to work with since it’s coming out of Canada so any precipitation that falls shouldn’t amount to much in our area. Outside of that system for early next week, the rest of next week looks mostly dry at the moment.
- 9 subzero nights so far this winter in Duluth. Average number of subzero nights from December through January is 22 using the 1991-2020 climate period, or 24 subzero nights if you use the 1874-2023 climate period.
HRRR model visibility forecast through 6 PM Saturday.
Darker colored areas represent visibilities of 1 mile or less.
Today’s high temperatures and departures from normal for January 26.
Ashland: 36 (+14 degrees above normal)
Brainerd: 36 (+14 degrees above normal)
Duluth: 36 (+16 degrees above normal)
Hibbing: 33 (+16 degrees above normal)
International Falls: 32 (+16 degrees above normal)
Record warm low temperature was tied for January 25th at International Falls on Thursday with a low of 28 degrees. This record was first set on January 25, 1947.
Parts of southern and eastern Wisconsin, northern Illinois and Michigan have been seeing some rain today, otherwise areas of fog and some freezing fog continue today.
Red: Freezing Fog (visibility 1/2 mile or less)
Gray: Fog (visibility 1/2 mile or less)
Goes-16 infrared satellite loop from Friday, ending 5:45 PM CT.
Active weather continues in the northwest U.S., parts of the southern U.S., Great Lakes and northeast U.S. today.
Temperature trends
Warmer than average temperatures are expected to continue in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin through at least February 9th.
Chances that we get our first 50 of the year in Duluth next week have diminished. But we’re still looking at highs in the 30s, with 40s possible on a few days next week. Either way you look at it, temperatures remain well above normal for this time of the year.
Here’s the 10-day temperature forecast for Duluth.
Precipitation trends
The pattern going forward isn’t very favorable for getting a lot of precipitation in the Northland as will be seeing an upper-level ridge strengthen across central Canada into the Great Lakes with deep troughs farther to the west and east.
This pattern is favorable, however, for active weather at times stretching from the western into the southern U.S., and also affecting the eastern U.S, and some of this active weather could shift farther north into parts of the central and northern Plains next weekend, but at the moment it looks like this active weather won’t be affecting the Northland.
European model 500mb forecast valid February 2, 2024.
Euro ensemble model total precipitation forecast through February 10, 2024.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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