Category: long range forecast
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Heavy Rain Tonight Along a Stalled Front; Massive 600 dam Ridge Builds Next Week
A frontal boundary acting more like a stationary front extending from central South Dakota to northeast Minnesota will be the focal point for showers and thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday morning. Precipitable water of 1.5 to 2 inches near and south of this front will lead to torrential downpours tonight, while…
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Northern Minnesota Severe Thunderstorm Watch, More Rain Possible Midweek
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 9 PM tonight for northern Minnesota and eastern North Dakota. The main threats include scattered damaging wind gusts between 60 and 75 mph, large hail measuring 1 to 2 inches in diameter (about the size of a quarter to a hen’s egg),…
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Heads-Up: Severe Threat Taking Shape Across the Upper Midwest
Northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin are at risk for severe thunderstorms on Monday, June 29. This outlook serves as a heads-up since there are still questions about the timing of the storms and the primary threats. Given the forecasted setup, it’s no surprise that a severe weather risk area has…
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Heat Pushes North as Midwest Ridge Strengthens Ahead of the Holiday
Heading into next week, computer models continue to show signs of a pattern shift, with an upper-level ridge developing across the Midwest and South and troughing out West. This setup will push much warmer air northward into the Upper Midwest, with 500mb heights likely topping 582 decameters and possibly exceeding…
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Mid‑June Shake‑Up: Storms Monday, a Four‑Day Wind Run, and a Strong Midweek System
Cold air aloft and warmer surface air, along with a NW flow aloft and a surface trough, will likely lead to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms in the Northland on Monday. Sufficient CAPE and steep mid-level lapse rates may support some storms, particularly in the afternoon to early evening,…
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Storm Prediction Center Highlights Northland Severe Risk Wed.
Severe thunderstorms possible in the Northland Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Although it’s still a few days away and things could change by Wednesday, the setup for severe weather is looking quite favorable in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin for Wednesday afternoon and evening. Sunday’s model runs show a very favorable…
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Birch Bay Fire Update and Weather Forecast
The Northland remains under an upper-level ridge, keeping conditions dry, while more unsettled weather is found near two troughs—one to the west and the other to the east. …Birch Bay Fire… 5:29 PM Monday 6/1/2026: The fire covers 25 acres. 4:48 PM Monday 6/1/2026: This afternoon, a new fire broke…