Strong to severe thunderstorms could pop up tonight well south of the Northland, impacting parts of South Dakota, Iowa, and possibly southern Minnesota. The main threat is damaging winds between 60 and 75 mph, with hail up to 2 inches in diameter possible, especially in parts of South Dakota. Any storms that form tonight will remain far south of the Northland.
The weather pattern over the past few days hasn’t shifted much, with an upper-level ridge parked over the southwest U.S., bringing plenty of heat to that region. Meanwhile, the upper Midwest is under a stronger west-northwest flow aloft, keeping the hottest air well south of us. A boundary dividing the heat from more seasonable temperatures to the north has been the focal point for several rounds of showers and thunderstorms lately.
This week should stay mostly dry in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, as the area sits well north of the main weather systems. You might see a few scattered showers here and there, but nothing widespread or heavy is expected through Friday.
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Wildfire smoke will continue drifting over Northland skies through at least Wednesday, but it will remain high in the atmosphere. This will create hazy skies, with little to no smoke expected at ground level.
Our next good chance for rain, possibly a more widespread event, appears to be on Saturday. However, with it still several days away, the forecast could easily change from how it looks today (Monday).
An early look at Saturday’s rainfall totals shows less than a quarter of an inch expected in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, so it doesn’t look like anything too heavy for now.
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