Radar loop ending at 5:45 PM Friday, May 3, 2019.
Rain will continue to move east affecting much of the Northland this evening. This rain should end from west to east later this evening.
12z European ensemble model 5-3-19
21z RAP model 5-3-19
20z HRRR model 5-3-19
Scattered rain showers will continue to affect parts of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin this evening with showers ending later tonight.
18z NAM-WRF model 5-3-19
One cold front weakens as it moves out of western Minnesota tonight, then will see a stronger cold front move through the Northland from Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Some rain showers are possible along and behind this second cold front late Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning.
Note: Radar forecast below is valid from 1 PM Saturday to 1 PM Sunday.
A large portion of the lower 48 is having a cooler than normal year so far.
Anywhere you see blue and green colors on the map below represents below average temperatures so far this year (January 1 to May 2, 2019) Orange colors represent above average temperatures.
…Update on the potential rain event for early next week…
Computer models have come into much better agreement with the system for early next week, and they all show it staying well south of our area with little to no rain in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin next Monday and Tuesday.
Note: I know we’re only 4 months into 2019, but the only month so far that has had a monthly average temperature above normal was April, and that was just by 0.6 degrees, every other month so far this year has been below average in Duluth, Minnesota, something to keep an eye on as we move deeper into 2019 to see if this cool trend continues.
Average temperature: 7.6 degrees
Departure: -2.6 degrees below normal
Average temperature: 11.2 degrees
Departure: -2.8 degrees below normal
Average temperature: 24.9 degrees
Departure: -1.0 degree below normal
Average temperature: 40.2 degrees
Departure: +0.6 degrees above normal
Note: The average temperature in 2019 (through May 2) 21.2 degrees (-2.2 degrees below normal)
Forecast for Duluth
.Tonight… Light rain and drizzle this evening. Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Low 33 to 37. Wind east 10 to 15 mph.
.Saturday… Patchy fog possible early, then partly to mostly cloudy. Warmer. Breezy. High 65 to 70. Wind becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
.Saturday night and Sunday morning… Occasional showers possible. Mostly cloudy.
.Sunday afternoon… Partly to mostly cloudy. Cooler. High 55 to 60. Wind north 10 to 15 mph.
Normal temperatures for May 4
May 4 Sunrise: 5:49 AM CDT
May 4 Sunset: 8:23 PM CDT