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Gusty east wind near Lake Superior Tuesday (20-30 mph) Rain and drizzle at times through Tuesday evening

Rain (mostly light stuff) continues late this Monday afternoon in northern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin with movement to the east.

There will be some rain at times through Tuesday evening across the Northland with the highest rainfall totals forecast to stretch from western through parts of north-central Minnesota into central Wisconsin. The least amount of rain is forecast in far northeast Minnesota from around Ely to Silver Bay, Grand Marais, Hovland and Grand Portage.

Source: https://weathermodels.com

NAM-WRF model radar forecast valid from 7 PM Monday to 7 AM Wednesday (18z/1 PM run)

Source: https://weathermodels.com

An early fall feel today in northern Minnesota with some locations in the northwest part of the state not getting out of the 50s today, much warmer temperatures today south and north of the cool pocket that covers northern Minnesota.

Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com

An impressive looking system over southern Saskatchewan today. This system will continue to impact the upper Midwest during the next 24 to 36 hours as it moves east/southeast.

Source: https://weather.cod.edu

12z HREF model

Source: https://www.spc.noaa.gov

Low temperature forecast for Tuesday morning, Aug. 13.

Source: https://graphical.weather.gov

High temperature forecast for Tuesday, Aug. 13.

…Weather Summary…

The first real taste of early fall weather in northern Minnesota today with some rain and temperatures this afternoon in the upper 50s to middle 60s which is 10 to 15 degrees below average on the 12th day of August. Milder temps further south with highs getting into the 70s today (right around average)

The weather through Wednesday will be dominated by a low pressure system which moves east/southeast out of southern Saskatchewan. This system will continue to bring some rain and drizzle to the Northland through Tuesday night, most of the rain will remain on the light side due to limited amounts of moisture north of the low pressure track, but some elevated instability will sneak into western-southern portions of the Northland through Tuesday, and this could result in a few thunderstorms, as well as some heavier rain showers at times in those areas.

Low pressure moves toward southern Lake Michigan by Wednesday morning but northwest flow aloft will continue behind this system which could cause a few spotty showers to develop in our area on Wednesday.

Temperatures won’t fall much tonight due to the cloud cover and some rain, lows will be in the 50s to lower 60s. The cloud cover and spotty rains Tuesday will keep temps on the cool side with highs ranging from the upper 50s to middle 60s, but a few locations could climb into the 70s (most likely in far southern portions of the Northland, Pine City-Siren areas)

Easterly wind will be on the gusty side near Lake Superior tonight and Tuesday with wind gusts 20 to 30 mph especially on Tuesday. There could also be some patchy fog near the lake tonight and Tuesday because of the humid/easterly flow coming off Lake Superior.

Rainfall Reports for Monday, Aug. 12, 2019

Source: https://mesowest.utah.edu

Note: Totals listed below are through 6 PM Monday

  • Walker, MN: 0.90″
  • Cass Lake, MN: 0.67″
  • Grand Rapids, MN: 0.61″
  • Hill City, MN: 0.22″
  • Pine River, MN: 0.14″
  • Orr, MN: 0.13″
  • Bigfork, MN: 0.08″
  • International Falls, MN: 0.05″

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