Tuesday’s system could produce around a quarter to half inch of precipitation in northeast and east-central Minnesota and all of northwest Wisconsin with locally higher amounts. Lesser amounts of precipitation are forecast across northern Minnesota with totals from around 0.01 to 0.15 inches.
Source: 12 HREF model 10.14.19; https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
18z NAM-Nest radar forecast valid from Midnight tonight to Midnight Tuesday night.
I know this may come as a surprise to a few of you, but it’s been very wet lately!
Check out the total precipitation over the last 30 days. Source: https://mrcc.illinois.edu
Accumulated precipitation and the percent of mean over the last 30 days. Incredible to see some areas of North Dakota and Minnesota running 3 to 4 times above normal compared to average in the last 30 days.
Significant River Flood Outlook valid thru October 19, 2019. Source: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Low temperature forecast for Tuesday morning, October 15. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov
High temperature forecast for Tuesday, October 15
Rain and some snow returns for Tuesday as an area of low pressure along with an upper level low moves east out of the Northern Plains. This system will deepen as it exits Minnesota and heads toward the Eastern Great Lakes from Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning.
Tonight should be mainly dry in the Northland under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Lows will be in the 30s, but some locations may fall into the 20s depending on cloud cover. Winds will become south/east later in the night at 5 to 15 mph.
Most of the area will get some rain on Tuesday with the heavier totals across eastern Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin. Note: There could be enough cooling NW of this system to produce a rain/snow mix or perhaps a few hour window of all snow on Tuesday in parts of the Northland, mainly away from Lake Superior. However, this still does not appear to be a real big snow event for our area, but a few locations could pick up a light coating of snow on Tuesday.
Highs Tuesday will range from the mid 30s to low 40s with north or east winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph near Lake Superior.
Isolated showers are possible Wednesday under partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs in the 40s.
Some rain could return sometime late Friday or early Saturday with a passing cold front, and then we may see a much larger storm affect parts of the upper Midwest/Great Lakes around October 20-22 with rain and possibly some snow. Stay tuned.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 33 to 38. Wind south around 10 mph becoming east late.
.Tuesday… Breezy with rain. The rain could mix with a little snow away from Lake Superior in higher elevation. High 38 to 43. Wind east to northeast 15 to 25 mph becoming north.
.Wednesday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 45 to 50. Wind northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Normal temperatures for October 15
- High 52
- Low 35
- Sunrise Tuesday 7:26 AM CDT
- Sunset Tuesday 6:22 PM CDT
Thanks for reading!