A bit warmer Wednesday with a little snow

Some light snow is possible late tonight into early Wednesday afternoon especially from east-central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin. Snow is forecast to end from NW-SE Wednesday afternoon.

There could also be a brief period of lake effect snow along the North Shore of Lake Superior on Wednesday with southerly winds in place during the morning hours.

Radar forecast from Midnight tonight to 3 PM Wednesday.

Source: 18z NAM-WRF model 11.12.19; https://weathermodels.com/

A swath of around 1 to 2 inches of snow is possible Wednesday from Brainerd to Hinckley to Hayward with generally an inch or less of snow north of that area, from Grand Rapids to Duluth to Ashland.

Quite the arctic blast for this time of year!

Source: RTMA model; https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Low temperature forecast for Wednesday morning, November 13. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Wednesday, November 13

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-First subzero low of the season in Duluth, Minnesota on Tuesday morning, November 12, 2019. Dating back to 1874, the average date for first subzero low temperature in Duluth is December 2. Earliest first occurred on November 2 (1951) Latest first subzero low in Duluth occurred on January 11 (1914) Note: Last year’s first subzero low in Duluth was on November 19.

-This morning’s low of -2 degrees at the Duluth Airport is the first time since March 7 with a subzero low temperature.

-Record low temperature set at Hibbing, Minnesota for November 12th. Low temperature Tuesday morning of -13 degrees which breaks the previous record of -9 degrees which was set in 1966.

-On Monday, Brainerd, Ashland, Duluth, International Falls and Hibbing all had a low temperature which ranked in the top 5 coldest on record for November 11th.

-On Tuesday, Brainerd, Ashland, Duluth and International Falls all had a low temperature which ranked in the top 5 coldest on record for November 12th.

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Low Temperature Reports from around the Northland from Tuesday morning, November 12, 2019. Source: https://www.weather.gov/dlh/

  • Cotton, MN: -16F
  • Brimson, MN: -15F
  • Embarrass, MN: -15F
  • Kabetogama, MN: -14F
  • International Falls, MN: -13F
  • Ely, MN: -13F
  • Cook, MN: -13F
  • Babbitt, MN: -13F
  • 3 E Orr, MN: -13F
  • Hibbing, MN: -13F
  • Bigfork, MN: -11F
  • Isabella, MN: -11F
  • Orr, MN: -9F
  • Crane Lake, MN: -9F
  • Grand Marais Airport: -8F
  • Cass Lake, MN: -7F
  • Floodwood, MN: -7F
  • Wolfridge, MN: -7F
  • Minong, WI: -7F
  • Hill City, MN: -6F
  • Moose Lake, MN: -6F
  • Silver Bay, MN: -6F
  • Eveleth, MN: -6F
  • Grand Rapids, MN: -6F
  • Pine River, MN: -6F
  • Solon Springs, WI: -6F
  • 3 E Wright, MN: -5F
  • 4 W Clam Lake, WI: -5F
  • Siren, WI: -5F
  • Two Harbors, MN: -4F
  • Longville, MN: -4F
  • Walker, MN: -4F
  • Siren, WI: -4F
  • Butternut, WI: -4F
  • Hayward, WI: -3F
  • Aitkin, MN: -2F
  • Duluth Airport: -2F
  • Superior Airport: -1F
  • Esko, MN: -1F
  • Brainerd, MN: -1F
  • McGregor, MN: 0F
  • Duluth Harbor: 1F
  • Ashland, WI: 3F
  • Grand Marais, MN: 5F

…Weather Summary…

Arctic high pressure was near St. Louis, Missouri late this afternoon with southerly winds occurring on the backside of this high which is leading to an area of strong warm air advection across parts of the Northern Plains and upper Midwest late today. 850mb temperatures at 4 PM Tuesday ranged from +8C at Rapid City to +2C at Bismarck to -12 to -18C in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Cold tonight with increasing cloudiness. Lows will be in the single digits and teens so not as cold as it was Monday night but still on the chilly side. Winds tonight will be out of the south at 5 to 15 mph.

An area of low pressure with its warm front and cold front will move across the region on Wednesday. Warm air advection and some weak lift ahead of this system will go on to produce a little bit of snow on Wednesday mainly for areas along and south of Highway 2 with some flurries possible farther north. Temperatures on Wednesday will trend a bit warmer compared to where we have been the last few days with highs tomorrow afternoon in the 20s to around 30 degrees. Winds will be out of the south/southwest at 10 to 20 mph, shifting to west/northwest later in the day.

Thursday looks dry at the moment with highs in the 20s to around 30 degrees.

There will be a reinforcing shot of arctic air late this week although the brunt of it should pass north/east of our area. Highs on Friday are forecast to range from the 20s in northern Minnesota to the lower 30s in eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. Note: With high pressure passing north of us, this will cause winds to shift to the east Friday afternoon into Friday night which may cause a few lake effect snow showers or flurries near Lake Superior, especially along the North Shore.

Milder temperatures on the way this weekend with highs Saturday and Sunday mainly in the 30s. There could be a little snow or mixed precip in parts of the Northland late Saturday into early Sunday but this doesn’t look like a major event.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Increasing cloudiness. Some light snow or flurries possible after Midnight. Low 9 to 14. Wind south at 5 to 15 mph.

.Wednesday… Some light snow and flurries. Snowfall accumulations less than an inch. Mostly cloudy. High 25 to 29. Wind south at 10 to 15 mph becoming west to northwest later in the day.

.Thursday… Partly cloudy. High 25 to 30. Wind southwest 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for November 13

  • High 37
  • Low 23
  • Sunrise Wednesday 7:08 AM CST
  • Sunset Wednesday 4:37 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

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