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Chilly pattern continues through Friday. Flurries tonight; few lake effect snow showers Friday; few inches of snow possible Saturday night-Sunday morning

The next few days will remain on the cool side, but a milder weather pattern is still expected this weekend which could linger through most of next week with daytime highs at or above freezing, perhaps close to 40 degrees on a few days, although the chances we hit 40 degrees look pretty low at this time.

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Snowfall Reports from around the Northland for Wednesday, November 13, 2019

  • Silver Bay, MN: 3.1″
  • Kettle River, MN: 1.9″
  • Cloquet, MN: 1.6″
  • Duluth Airport: 1.4″
  • 7 W Hovland, MN: 1.3″
  • 3 N Mahtowa, MN: 1.3″
  • 4 N Amnicon Falls State Park, WI: 0.8″
  • 3 NE Nisswa, MN: 0.8″
  • Pine River, MN: 0.5″
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Map below shows the number of record low maximum and or record low minimum temperatures that have been tied or broken in the Midwest from November 1 through November 9, 2019.

Note: A total of 409 cold temperature records have been tied or broken in the Midwest from November 1 to November 9.

Source: https://mrcc.illinois.edu/

This has been quite the pattern for very cold temperatures across a large part of the U.S.

The map below shows the temperature anomaly from October 28 though November 12, 2019 — Anywhere you see green and blue colors on the map below indicates below normal temperatures with the darker green and blue colors indicating well below normal temperatures.

The only warm spots (above normal temps) include most of Florida, parts of California, Oregon, Nevada and Arizona (orange colors on the map)

Source: https://mrcc.illinois.edu/

Average Temperature/Departure from Normal in the Northland from October 28 to November 12, 2019. Source: https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/

  • Hibbing: 18.7 degrees (-13.4 degrees below normal)
  • International Falls: 19.9 degrees (-12.1 degrees below normal)
  • Brainerd: 23.9 degrees (-11.2 degrees below normal)
  • Duluth: 24.2 degrees (-10.5 degrees below normal)
  • Superior: 26.0 degrees (-11.6 degrees below normal)

Low temperature forecast for Thursday morning, November 14. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Thursday, November 14

I’m keeping an eye on a potential snow event for late Saturday into early Sunday. There are some model differences on where this system will track, but there is some potential that parts of the Northland could get a few inches of snow Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Stay tuned.

Source: 18z NAM model 11.13.19; https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

…Weather Summary…

Parts of the Northland picked up a little snow today with accumulations generally in the 0.5 to 1.5 inch range. Parts of the North Shore of Lake Superior also had some snow today, mostly due to lake effect with accumulations of 1 to as much as 3 inches reported.

Light snow showers and flurries will be found in parts of the Northland tonight under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies. Low temperature forecast is a tricky one for tonight, if clouds hang around most of the night, lows will be ‘warmer’ in the teens, but if skies clear, temps will fall quickly thanks to the fresh snow that fell in parts of the area today with potential for overnight lows ranging from around zero to 10 above. Winds tonight will be out of the west or northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

A cold front drops SE across the area Thursday night with arctic high pressure passing north of the area on Friday.

Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast on Thursday with highs in the 20s to around 30 degrees with winds becoming southwest at 10 to 20 mph. Note: A few snow showers or flurries are possible later in the day with a cold front which will move through the area.

Friday looks mainly dry, but with winds shifting to the east and with plenty of cold air in place we could see a few lake effect flurries or snow showers near Lake Superior, shifting from the South Shore in the morning to the North Shore during the afternoon and evening. Highs on Friday are forecast to range from around 20 degrees in far northeast Minnesota to near 30 degrees in east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… A few flurries and snow showers this evening. Mostly cloudy with some clearing possible during the night. Low 9 to 14. Wind west 5 to 15 mph.

.Thursday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 26 to 31. Wind southwest 10 to 20 mph.

.Friday… Partly to mostly cloudy. A few flurries possible during the afternoon. High 25 to 30. wind north 10 to 15 mph becoming east.

Normal temperatures for November 14

  • High 36
  • Low 23
  • Sunrise Thursday 7:10 AM CST
  • Sunset Thursday 4:36 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

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