Breezy and chilly tonight; some sun Friday, highs around 32 degrees. Mild this weekend; some light rain/wet snow possible Sunday-Monday

Overall last night’s snow event went pretty much as forecast. Greatest snow amounts were north of Duluth as expected. I was a little surprised the Duluth Airport didn’t get more snow than what they ended up with (1.0″) but not surprised at all at the lack of snow closer to Lake Superior. You can thank the warm air and later changeover from rain/mixed precip to snow for the lower snow totals in Duluth and Superior with last night’s system.

Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Pretty cool to see a few thunderstorms in late November in Minnesota! The air was unstable enough in central Minnesota Wednesday evening to cause a few thunderstorms, some of these were accompanied by sleet. Note: Red dots=lightning strikes.

Source: https://www.lightningmaps.org/

Low temperature forecast for Friday morning, November 22. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Friday, November 22

The final week of November looks slightly warmer than average in the Northland per long range model guidance.

Note: Normal highs in the Northland from November 25-30 range from the mid 20s to around 30 degrees with normal lows ranging from the upper single digits to the middle teens.

Source: https://weathermodels.com/

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

Computer models have been backing off considerably on a major storm developing during the early-mid part of next week — Looks like will have separate systems in the northern branch and southern branch of the jet streams with no interaction between the two until they reach the eastern Great Lakes, in other words it looks very unlikely will have a major snow event in the Northland early next week. Note: Black lines on the map indicate possible storm tracks.

…Weather Summary…

Blustery and cold tonight followed by milder temperatures for the weekend.

Cold air advection is occurring today with low pressure over eastern Canada and high pressure across the Northern Plains. Gusty north/northwest winds were found across the Northland today with daytime highs being set early this morning (30s) temperatures have been falling ever since with late afternoon temps in the teens and 20s.

This will be a quick shot of cold air, peaking tonight and Friday morning with lows in the single digits and teens, highs on Friday will be close to average in the upper 20s to near the freezing mark.

Scattered snow showers and flurries in parts of the Northland should come to an end this evening, this will be followed by partly to mostly cloudy skies for the rest of tonight.

We should see some sun on Friday, been a while since we’ve seen that around here.

Winds tonight out of the northwest, winds on Friday shift to the southwest. Wind speeds 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday looks mainly dry at the moment with highs in the 30s.

Some wet snow or light rain is possible over parts of the Northland late this weekend-early next week (November 24-26) but this doesn’t look like it will be a significant event.

Overall pattern looks more active next week, but there is considerable uncertainty in the computer models when it comes to whether or not we see a larger/stronger storm develop, and also with the timing and track of any such system. Could see anything from a little snow to lots of snow, no precip at all, to some rain in the Northland around November 28-December 1.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Blustery and cold. Snow showers and flurries this evening. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 10 to 15. Wind northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

.Friday… Partly to mostly sunny. High 28 to 33. Wind southwest 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday… Partly to mostly sunny. High 33 to 38. Wind southwest 10 to 20 mph becoming west.

Thanks for reading!