Mild temps continue Sunday; little wet snow/rain possible Monday

Mother Nature up to her old tricks! Major cold snap earlier this month leading to very favorable conditions for ice to form on rivers and lakes, but talk about a change in temperatures from how it was earlier this month compared to now, certainly not unusual to get a major swing like this from way below normal to well above normal, as in weather everything tends to even out in the end.

Where do we go from here? Overall it’s a mild pattern into Thanksgiving week, although the ‘warmest’ day will likely be on Sunday, thereafter we should have highs pretty close to normal for late November, mid 20s to low-mid 30s. I don’t see any arctic blast or persistent arctic airmass impacting our area into early December the way it looks now.

Source: RTMA model; https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Looks like another nice late fall day on Sunday.

Still keeping an eye on two systems next week, and both still look like they will miss the Twin Ports as one goes north, the other south.

Parts of northern Minnesota could get around an inch or so of slushy snow on Monday (25th) while a swath of accumulating snow, perhaps in the 3-6 inch range spreads E-NE out of Nebraska for Tuesday-Wednesday (26th-27th)

I’m pretty sure the storm showing up in model guidance for around November 29-December 1 time frame will be hyped pretty good, but I see some red flags in model guidance, one being the continued split flow pattern. Model guidance, especially the European is going bonkers on snowfall amounts for late next week-next weekend with totals of 1 to 2 feet, so give it a day or two and it will probably drop to around an inch, or it’ll be a total miss to the south, or better yet a rain storm. So yeah, I’m not buying into any major storm potential quite yet, at least for our local area, especially considering how poorly the computer models have been doing as of late.

Low temperature forecast for Sunday morning, November 24. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

…Weather Summary…

It was a mild Saturday in the Northland under mostly sunny skies, but clouds are increasing late this afternoon. Highs today were in the mid 30s to mid 40s, above normal by some 10 to 15 degrees for November 23rd, but not quite warm enough to tie or break the record high temps for November 23rd.

We’re looking at partly to mostly cloudy skies in our area for tonight and Sunday, likely won’t have as much sun on Sunday compared to what we had on Friday and Saturday.

Lows tonight will be in the mid 20s to low 30s which is what our normal highs are in late November. Highs Sunday ranging from the upper 30s to middle 40s with a chance for some upper 40s in a few locations in east-central Minnesota.

Winds will have a westerly component to them through Sunday, either WSW or WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

A more organized low pressure system is forecast to track along the Ontario/Minnesota border on Monday, this system should bring some wet snow or rain to parts of the Northland with around an inch or so of snow possible mainly over far northern Minnesota.

Monday’s system exits to the east by Tuesday while a new system develops over the Southern Plains, this one is forecast to lift quickly to the northeast as it reaches the eastern Great Lakes on Wednesday, most if not all the snow with that one should remain south/southeast of the Northland the way it looks now.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 28 to 33. Wind southwest 5 to 15 mph.

.Sunday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 42 to 47. Wind west to southwest 10 to 20 mph.

.Monday… Mostly cloudy. High 34 to 39. Wind southwest 10 to 20 mph.

Thanks for reading!