Turning cooler the next few days with some lake effect snow showers possible along the South Shore of Lake Superior, isolated flurries elsewhere

A quiet weather pattern continues in the Northland this week and probably into next week as well. I’m just not seeing a consistent enough signal in model guidance to say that our stretch of quiet weather will end anytime soon, enjoy!

Source: 12z European ensemble model 2.24.2020; https://weathermodels.com/

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March is coming up fast, you know what that means, don’t you? State Tournament blizzards! It never fails, happens every March where people talk about getting hit with a blizzard right around tournament time, yet we haven’t had a whole lot of snow around here during the month of March in years, but that won’t stop people from talking about getting hit with a blizzard right around state tournament time.

March Snowfall Totals for Duluth, Minnesota from 2000 through 2019.

Note: Average snowfall in Duluth for March is 13.2 inches

Years in Bold=Above Normal March Snowfall

2000: 9.5″
2001: 7.9″
2002: 29.7″
2003: 17.1″
2004: 11.6″
2005: 6.3″
2006: 12.5″
2007: 25.5″
2008: 13.6″
2009: 15.5″
2010: Trace
2011: 7.4″
2012: 11.9″
2013: 25.8″
2014: 20.9″
2015: 8.1″
2016: 17.3″
2017: 5.3″
2018: 5.1″
2019: 6.7″

Note: 12 below normal, and 8 above normal monthly snowfall totals for March since 2000.

-March 2007 stands out as Duluth was hit by a blizzard on the 1st and 2nd with nearly 20 inches of snow, but we also had our 1st 70 degree temperature of the year later that month on the 26th.

-Have to go back to March 2016 for the last time we had above normal snowfall during the month of March in Duluth.

Low temperature forecast for Tuesday morning, February 25th, 2020. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Tuesday, February 25th, 2020.

…Weather Summary…

Our string of beautiful early spring like weather continued today with plentiful sun, a gentle breeze along with high temperatures which ranged from 35 to 42 degrees, roughly 10 to 15 degrees above normal for late February.

There isn’t a whole lot to talk about when it comes to our weather this week.

A cooling trend begins Tuesday with highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s which is still a little above normal for this time of the year. Temperatures will cool even further Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the teens and 20s.

Lows tonight will be in the teens and 20s, cooling to the single digits to around 20 Tuesday night, and from the single digits below to teens above zero for Wednesday night and Thursday night.

Will have partly to mostly cloudy sky conditions across the Northland tonight through Wednesday. There is a chance for a few flurries Tuesday and Wednesday along with some lake effect snow showers along the South Shore of Lake Superior as north winds combine with a colder air mass with -15 to -25C 850mb temperatures to produce some lake effect east of the Twin Ports. Snowfall accumulations could reach 1 to 3 inches along the South Shore from Tuesday night through early Thursday.


Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Clear to partly cloudy. Low 20 to 25. Wind north 5 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday… Partly to mostly cloudy. Flurries possible. High 30 to 34. Wind north to northeast 10 to 20 mph.

.Wednesday… Partly to mostly cloudy. Flurries possible. High 22 to 27. Wind northwest 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for February 25

High 27
Low 10

Sunrise Tuesday 6:56 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday 5:48 PM CST

Thanks for reading!


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