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Warmer weather on the way; dry pattern continues

Note: February 2020 will go into the record books as the 3rd driest February on record in Duluth, Minnesota with 0.18 inches of precipitation. The driest February on record in Duluth occurred in 1877 with 0.10″ of precipitation, the 2nd driest February on record occurred in 1988 with 0.13″ of precipitation. Records for Duluth date back to 1875.

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Cold air lingers over the Northland today, but those milder temperatures off to our west are finally moving this way, and will arrive over the weekend.

Source: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

The freezing line (blue line on map) will be moving east on Saturday and should make it through most of the Northland as milder Pacific air heads east this weekend.

Source: RTMA model; https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Low temperature forecast for Saturday morning, February 29th, 2020. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Saturday, February 29th, 2020.

…Weather Summary…

Our stretch of quiet weather continues into next week.

High pressure over eastern South Dakota moves SE toward the Ohio Valley on Saturday. Southerly return flow develops on the back side of that high which will result in warm air advection spreading into the Northland tonight and Saturday. Note: 850mb temperatures across the Northland of around -10 to -15C late this afternoon will climb to around +1 to +7C by Saturday evening.

Clear to partly cloudy skies for this evening will become partly to mostly cloudy overnight as a warm front moves east out of the eastern Dakotas. Could see some patchy fog develop in parts of the area early Saturday morning, but this should lift before Noon Saturday. There is also a risk for a few flurries or perhaps some patchy light freezing drizzle Saturday morning, mainly in far northern Minnesota.

It’ll be another chilly night tonight as lows fall into the single digits below to single digits above zero.

Highs on Saturday will be in the 30s with a few 40s possible over western sections of the Northland.

A cold front swings through the Northland on Sunday, but this will be a dry frontal passage. Mild temperatures Sunday with highs in the upper 30s to middle 40s, and I still think there is a chance that some locations in our area will make a run at 50 degrees on Sunday.

Looking ahead to next week – No major storm systems impacting northeast Minnesota or northwest Wisconsin, but there could be a weak system or two during the week which could bring a light dusting of snow or a light rain/snow mix to parts of the area, but that’s about it, nothing major the way it looks now.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Clear to partly cloudy. Low 1 to 6. Wind northwest 5 to 15 mph becoming southwest late.

.Saturday… Milder. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 33 to 38. Wind south to southwest 10 to 20 mph.

.Sunday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 45 to 50. Wind southeast becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for February 29

High 29
Low 11

Sunrise Saturday 6:49 AM CST
Sunset Saturday 5:54 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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