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Mild temps the next few days; turning a little cooler late this week; a few light precip events through next week

A little rain, a little wet snow on the way Wednesday night and Thursday. Time to panic, buy some more TP!

This pattern is great if you like the occasional light precipitation event in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

I don’t see any changes in this pattern through next week, and perhaps through the rest of March given how this pattern has been more or less locked in place for over a month now.

There could be a few light precipitation events across the Northland through next week, but the chances for a major storm to hit our area is very low unless the southern branch of the jet lifts far enough north, or we get some phasing to occur between the northern and southern branches of the jet stream.

Source: 12z European ensemble model 3.10.20; https://weathermodels.com/

A few systems moving across the northern tier of the US and Canada the next few days.

One system is moving into the upper Midwest this afternoon, while upstream there’s another system over northwest Canada today, and this one will affect the Northland Wednesday night and Thursday with some light precipitation.

Source: Goes-16 water vapor imagery; https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/

Here’s a look at tonight’s system which is mainly affecting southern Minnesota where some rain and wet snow is falling late this afternoon with movement to the ENE.

Source: MRMS radar; https://lab.weathermodels.com/

Simulated radar forecast below goes from 1 PM Wednesday to 1 PM Thursday. Rain in green, snow in blue, mix in pink.

Source: 18z NAM-WRF model 3.10.20; https://weathermodels.com/

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Low temperature forecast for Wednesday morning, March 11th, 2020. Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com/

High temperature forecast for Wednesday, March 11th, 2020.

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With very little weather (in our area) to talk about, figured I’d share some photos I’ve taken over the last few years, I’ll probably include a few pics in future posts this week, or until the weather turns a little more active around here which doesn’t look like it will happen anytime soon, enjoy!

Note: The pics below are of the St. Louis River in Fond du Lac, MN, and of Lake Superior.

…Weather Summary…

According to a report released by the Army Corps of Engineers, water levels on Lake Superior have dropped about 3 inches since February 6th (press the panic button)

But, hold on, water levels on Lake Superior remain well above the long-term average, so nothing to see here. Moving on…

Oh wait, one more thing, I do find it interesting the low water mark for March for Lake Superior occurred way back in 1926, while the high water mark for Lake Superior in March was set in 1986. Imagine that, variations in water levels. Low record set 94 years ago, high record set 34 years ago.

Weak system scoots south of us tonight with most of the snow and rain staying south of the Northland, but the northern fringe of this system affects far southern areas this evening with a little wet snow and rain (Hinckley to Hayward line and south)

Mostly cloudy to partly cloudy tonight with lows ranging from the single digits up north to around 20 degrees in east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Partly to mostly cloudy for Wednesday with highs in the upper 30s to middle 40s except lower 30s in the tip of the Arrowhead.

Southerly winds tonight and Wednesday 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts possible Wednesday afternoon.

Low pressure with its warm front and cold front will move across the Northland Wednesday night and Thursday bringing some light rain, snow and a wintry mix to the area.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly cloudy, but some clearing possible overnight. Low 17 to 22. Wind southwest around 10 mph.

.Wednesday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 37 to 42. Wind south 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday… Rain or snow showers possible. Mostly cloudy. High 37 to 42. Wind west 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for March 11

High 32
Low 16

Sunrise Wednesday 7:28 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday 7:10 PM CDT

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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