A cold but less active weather pattern ahead for the Northland (record/near record possible into early next week)

What a week it’s been across the Northland. So much snow for October, including four one-inch or greater snow events so far this month in Duluth which ties the record for most one inch or greater snow events for the month of October, this record was set in October 1995, and by the way the winter of 1995-1996 went on to become the snowiest winter on record in Duluth with 135.4″ of snow. Not saying this upcoming winter will be record breaking in terms of snowfall, but the pattern that we saw this week should return frequently this winter with a La Nina in place.

-October 2020 currently ranks as the 2nd snowiest October on record at Duluth, Minnesota with 13.5″ of snow. The snowiest October on record in Duluth occurred in 1933 with 14.0″ of snow.

-Two daily snowfall records broken this week at Duluth, Minnesota. October 20th (5.8″ of snow) and October 22nd (4.1″ of snow)

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Source: https://lab.weathermodels.com/

13.5″ of snow at the Duluth Airport from October 17-23, 2020 – Normal snowfall for that period is just 0.6″.

Snowfall totals over the past 7 days have been some 500-750% of normal across most of the Northland, incredible stuff!

Source: https://mrcc.illinois.edu/

Snowfall Reports from Thursday, October 22, 2020
Source: https://www.weather.gov/dlh/

4 NW Casino, MN: 7.2″
7 WSW Pine River, MN: 5.7″
1 SW Crosslake, MN: 5.5″
2 N Pillager, MN: 5.0″
3 SSW Bruno, MN: 4.5″
14 ESE Marcell, MN: 4.1″
Duluth Airport: 4.1″
1 NNE Walker, MN: 4.0″
3 N Brainerd, MN: 3.5″
2 NE Cloquet, MN: 3.5″
2 ENE Kettle River, MN: 3.3″
3 SE Finland, MN: 3.2″
3 WSW Cloquet, MN: 3.2″
2 NE Munger, MN: 3.0″
1 NNW Federal Dam, MN: 3.0″
5 NE Rice Lake, MN: 3.0″
Cloquet, MN: 3.0″
3 ENE Holyoke, MN: 2.7″
1 WSW Maple, WI: 2.7″
7 E Patzau, WI: 2.5″
2 NNW Gary New Duluth, MN: 2.5″
8 NNW Coleraine, MN: 2.5″
Chisholm, MN: 2.4″
6 WNW Castle Danger, MN: 2.3″
4 WNW Two Harbors, MN: 2.2″
1 WSW Lester Park, MN: 2.1″
3 N Shaw, MN: 2.0″
Gile, WI: 2.0″
Keewatin, MN: 2.0″
Embarrass, MN: 2.0″
3 WNW Clam Lake, WI: 1.5″
1 SW Ely, MN: 1.2″
1 W Solon Springs, WI: 1.0″
1 SW Grantsburg, WI: 0.6″
4 W Grand Marais, MN: 0.5″
Cook, MN: 0.5″
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Another snow event is expected this weekend, but this one looks to remain over southern Minnesota and central Wisconsin with only a few flurries or light snow showers possible at times across northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin from tonight through Sunday.

12z NAM 3km model radar forecast thru 7 PM Sunday, October 25, 2020.

Source: https://weathermodels.com/

The cold air won’t be leaving anytime soon, in fact temperatures across the Northland look even colder into early next week with highs generally in the upper 20s to mid 30s and lows in the teens and 20s with single digits likely on a few nights. Note: We could break some record lows and or record cold high temperatures over the next few days.

Source: https://weathermodels.com/

But as we fast forward into early November there are signs showing up that a more persistent warm-up could setup across the upper Midwest including for us in the Northland. We likely won’t be seeing 60 degree temps around here, but 40s and maybe some 50s are possible at times during the November 2nd-7th time frame.

The pattern does look a lot less active in our area looking out the next 2 weeks with below normal precipitation expected in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. This isn’t exactly the best of news, however, at least here in Duluth as we are still well below normal in precipitation for 2020.

Note: Going into today, October 23rd, Duluth was -9.17″ below normal for the year, and around -2.65″ below normal since September 1st, but we are running above normal for the month of October with a precipitation surplus of around +0.60″.

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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