Mild and a touch humid with some haze and chances for scattered showers into midweek

If you like clouds, a little humidity, mild temps and daily chances for scattered showers, well then this forecast is for you! A stagnant weather pattern for the most part. I guess we jumped into an August like weather pattern here in late June.

Will have to keep an eye on air quality issues the next few days since winds will remain pretty light, not much mixing happening in the atmosphere, and the HRRR model smoke forecast does show higher amounts of wildfire smoke drifting south out of Ontario province and into parts of the Northland Sunday and Monday, so air quality could worsen a little bit in parts of the area over the next few days.

There are chances for rain showers in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin from tonight through Tuesday, but this rain will likely be scattered in coverage where some locations get hit, others not so much. Showers that occur will be slow movers due to weak winds in the low/mid levels of the atmosphere, and this could lead to some locations getting a decent amount of rain, possibly >1″ totals, but again those types of rainfall amounts won’t be widespread in our area.

A few thunderstorms could also develop in the Northland Sunday, Monday and Tuesday as will build up some instability, but these storms will likely be outflow dominant where they develop, reach maximum intensity, then collapse shortly thereafter. No severe weather is expected in our area the next few days, but occasional lightning and some gusty winds will be possible if you get under or near a thunderstorm.

…Rainfall Departures for June 2021 (thru 4 PM on the 26th)…

Brainerd, MN: -2.58″ below normal

Hibbing, MN: -2.18″ below normal

Duluth, MN: -2.13″ below normal

Ashland, WI: -2.10″ below normal

International Falls, MN: -1.78″ below normal

Advertisements

18z NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid from 7 PM Saturday to 7 PM Sunday.

18z HRRR model valid from 7 PM Saturday to 7 PM Sunday.

High Temperature Forecast valid from Sunday, June 27, 2021 through Wednesday, June 30, 2021 – Looking at 70s and low to mid 80s for daytime highs in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin over the next few days, with dew points in the 50s and 60s, so it might feel a little muggy at times.

Advertisements

It’s been a rainy late June day today across much of southern Minnesota into central Wisconsin, and this area of rain is lifting generally to the east-northeast. Meanwhile in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, it’s been mostly dry today, with just a few isolated showers at times.

Much of North Dakota and northwest Minnesota received some rain on Friday, while much greater rainfall amounts have occurred farther south/east across parts of the Midwest, with some locales picking up more than 6″ of rain the past few days, but notice how northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin has missed out on the rain up through Saturday afternoon.

A big time ridge with record heat covered the Pacific northwest and southwest Canada today while a trough covered the upper Midwest downstream of that big ridge off to our west.

Water vapor loop from Saturday, June 26, 2021.

Temperatures are already as hot as 105-107 degrees across parts of Washington and Oregon early this Saturday afternoon (pacific time) All this heat is under a very strong upper level ridge with 500mb heights approaching 600 decameters today, incredible!

Very hot temperatures are likely over the Pacific northwest the next several days with highs of 95 to as hot as 115 degrees, including in the Seattle and Portland areas – High temperature forecast valid from Sunday, June 27, 2021 through Friday, July 2, 2021.

Tim

Leave a Reply