Cooler, more seasonable temps continue Friday followed by a warming trend into early next week; A few brief light showers possible Friday otherwise dry into early next week

It’s finally beginning to feel more like a typical October day in the Northland as a cooler air mass moves into the upper Midwest in wake of a strong area of low pressure which continues to lift NNE across eastern Manitoba today.

Widespread clouds and even some patchy drizzle across the Northland today as cooler air moves into the area.

Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Thursday, October 14, 2021.

Temperatures late this Thursday afternoon ranged from the mid 40s to low 50s in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. These temperatures are anywhere from around -2 to -7 degrees below normal for mid-October.

Temperatures this afternoon have been running anywhere from -10 to over -20 degrees below normal from the Northern and Central Rockies, east to parts of the Dakotas, to around -5 to -10 degrees below normal over much of western, central and eastern Minnesota.

There may be a few light rain showers or some patchy drizzle around the Northland tonight into the day Friday, but nothing significant or widespread in terms of rainfall over the next 24 hours or so.

18z NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast ending 10 PM Friday.

Here’s the 10-Day temperature forecast for Duluth, Minnesota.

Starts and ends seasonably cool, with a decent warmup in between.

We should see our first frost of the season in the Twin Ports (even near Lake Superior) sometime between Saturday morning and next weekend. Whether or not the Airport actually gets their first freeze (32 F) of the season remains to be seen, but we’re due, as the average date for the first 32 F freeze in Duluth is September 30th.

Normal highs from October 15 to October 24 fall from 53 to 49, while normal lows fall from 36 to 33.


A look at precipitation totals and their departure from normal so far this month (thru 4 PM on the 14th).

Brainerd, MN: 1.97″; +0.68″ above normal
International Falls, MN: 1.85″; +0.78″ above normal
Hibbing, MN: 1.83″; +0.66″ above normal
Duluth, MN: 1.44″; -0.01″ below normal
Ashland, WI: 1.28″; -0.28″ below normal

Note: Year to Date Precipitation deficits range from -5.70″ below normal at Duluth, MN, to -5.60″ below normal at International Falls, MN.

A look at precipitation totals over the last few days.

Snowfall totals over the last few days.


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