Breezy the next few days; Patchy light snow, rain or a light wintry mix possible mainly north areas tonight and Tuesday followed by a few snow showers and flurries Wednesday

Wind will be a big story over the next few days as a strong area of low pressure moves east across Canada. Will start with breezy southerly winds in the Northland on Tuesday along with strong warm air advection, but on Wednesday a wind shift to the west will occur with cold air advection moving in.

Highs Tuesday will range from the mid 30s to mid 40s across the Northland (warmest temps in northwest Wisconsin), but highs in the 60s to around 70 degrees are expected on Tuesday over eastern South Dakota and far southwest Minnesota.

Up and down temps the next few days, first a push of warmer air Tuesday followed by a return of colder temps Wednesday.

850mb temperature forecast ending 6 PM Wednesday, November 17, 2021

Warmer temps in green, yellow and orange colors, colder temps in darker blue and purple colors.

Wind alerts are widespread across the Pacific northwest, Northern Rockies and Northern Plains (brown colored areas) tonight and Tuesday.

Windy weather looks to continue across the Northern Plains and upper Midwest on Wednesday with a tight pressure gradient in place between a strong low over southern Manitoba and strong high pressure over southwest Canada.

850mb winds of 30 to 45 knots are forecast across the Northland on Wednesday, and some of this wind should be able to mix down to the surface with potential for wind gusts of around 25 to 35 mph.

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There shouldn’t be a whole lot of precipitation over the next few days, but we may see a few snow showers, rain showers or a wintry mix in parts of the area on Tuesday, with a few snow showers expected on Wednesday. No impacts to travel are expected at this time for Tuesday and Wednesday, and any snow that falls through Wednesday shouldn’t amount to much, maybe a dusting in a few spots.

18z NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid 6 AM Tuesday to 6 PM Wednesday.

20 member GEFS model snowfall accumulation forecast isn’t showing a whole lot of snow for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin thru Saturday, November 20, 2021.

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Cooler temperatures return for mid to late week with highs in the Northland falling back to the low 30s to low 40s Wednesday, and generally in the low to mid 30s Thursday and Friday, nothing arctic by any means, but a little on the brisk side especially when you factor in a gusty wind which will be with us at least on Wednesday.

Look at those temperatures in Alaska this afternoon, still well below zero, including -27 F at Bettles. Long range computer models have been hinting at the possibility that will begin to tap into some of this arctic air as we get into the final week or two of November, but certainly not a guarantee will see that happen.

A very cold morning in parts of the Northland

Low Temperature Reports from Monday morning, November 15, 2021

Note: Normal lows on November 15 are in the upper teens to lower 20s, so some locations in the Northland were around -15 degrees below normal for their low temperature today, but no new low temperature records were set.

2 E Celina, MN: 0 F
Brimson, MN: 3 F
Cotton, MN: 3 F
Hibbing, MN: 3 F
Cook, MN: 3 F
International Falls, MN: 4 F
Eveleth, MN: 5 F
Orr, MN: 7 F
Duluth, MN (Airport) 8 F

Tim

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