6:13 PM Tuesday, March 15, 2022
There is a chance for a little rain mainly across northern Minnesota and Arrowhead on Wednesday as a low-pressure system and cold front makes its way through the Northland. Eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin look to stay dry on Wednesday.
Rainfall amounts with Wednesday’s system look to be in that trace to 0.10″ range across parts of northern Minnesota.
Simulated radar forecast valid 7 PM Tuesday to 7 PM Wednesday (rain in green)
A strong low-pressure system is affecting the southeast U.S. with rain and thunderstorms today while another system moves east out of the Pacific northwest. A ridge covered the Central Plains between the two lows today.
Goes-16 water vapor loop from Tuesday, March 15, 2022.
Well, we definitely got a taste of spring weather in the Northland today as high temperatures soared well into the 40s with a few locations getting into the lower 50s! Today’s highs were roughly +10 to +15 degrees warmer than average for March 15.
High temperature reports from Tuesday, March 15, 2022
International Falls 50 F (1st 50 of 2022) Last year’s first 50 was on March 7. Average date for first 50 degree or warmer temperature is March 16 (1991-2020 climate period)
Ashland 49
Hibbing 48
Brainerd 48
Duluth Airport 46 — Warmest temperature in Duluth since December 16 when the high was 49 degrees.
Another mild day is on the way for Wednesday although it will probably be fairly overcast for most of the day. Highs Wednesday will mainly be in the 40s in northeast Minnesota with highs in the 40s to around 50 degrees in northwest Wisconsin.
Note: Will keep the mild daytime highs going right through this weekend with highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s on Thursday, mainly low to mid 40s on Friday, then in the 40s and 50s Saturday and Sunday. We are at that time of year where an east wind coming off Lake Superior would keep temperatures cooler near Lake Superior (within about 10-15 miles of the lake) but no signs that will have an east wind at least through Saturday.
A few different things showed up on visible satellite imagery today
1: An area of accumulating snow from Monday’s system (blue outlined area)
2: Low clouds and fog which developed last night and lingered into this morning finally dissipated this afternoon in eastern Wisconsin (yellow outlined area) while low clouds and fog lingered over much of Lake Michigan into this afternoon (other yellow outlined area)
Our next best chance for a more widespread precipitation event comes early to mid-next week the way it looks now, but there is a lot of uncertainty on the computer models with how the pattern sets up and the intensity and track of a low-pressure system for next week.
The time frame for when we may see some rain or snow in the Northland is from March 21-23.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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