5:31 PM Monday, May 2, 2022
-Spring 2022 is running 8 to 10 degrees COLDER in the Northland compared to Spring 2021.
-A warming trend continues the rest of this week, with big time warmth possible early next week.
-Away from Lake Superior (roughly 20-25 miles) daytime highs will be in the 50s on Tuesday, and in the 50s and 60s Wednesday through Saturday, but closer to Lake Superior highs will be in the upper 30s to upper 40s from Tuesday through Saturday.
-A dry pattern will likely continue at least through Saturday, but a more active/wet pattern may return the week of May 8th.
A lack of 50- and 60-degree days so far this spring at Duluth.
1991-2020 Climate Period
Typically, by May 1st, we should’ve had 17 days with a high of at least 50 degrees (2 days so far this spring), and 6 days with a high of at least 60 degrees (0 so far this spring), and 1 day with a high of at least 70 degrees (0 so far this spring).
I do think will finally get our first 60 degree high of the year in Duluth around May 7-8. The last time it was 60 or warmer in Duluth was November 6th!
Still seeing a lot of cloud cover across the region today, although there has been some partial clearing in spots which has allowed for an occasional peek of sunshine.
Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Monday, May 2, 2022.
Here’s a look at how much sun we’ve seen this year at Duluth, Minnesota.
Brown=Max
Green=Amount of sun in 2022 (January-April)
The Spring of 2022 is running -8 to -10 degrees colder across the Northland compared to Spring 2021 — See stats below.
| Duluth, Minnesota Average Temperature for Spring 2022 (March 1 – May 1) 29.1 degrees Average Temperature for Spring 2021 (March 1 – May 1) 37.5 degrees Chisholm-Hibbing, Minnesota Average Temperature for Spring 2022 (March 1 – May 1) 26.8 degrees Average Temperature for Spring 2021 (March 1 – May 1) 35.9 degrees Brainerd, Minnesota Average Temperature for Spring 2022 (March 1 – May 1) 31.9 degrees Average Temperature for Spring 2021 (March 1 – May 1) 40.2 degrees International Falls, Minnesota Average Temperature for Spring 2022 (March 1 – May 1) 26.6 degrees Average Temperature for Spring 2021 (March 1 – May 1) 36.6 degrees |
Long range computer models are showing a pretty amplified pattern setting up late this weekend through about the middle of next week. There are differences with just how amplified the pattern will become though, with the GFS somewhat less amplified compared to the Euro model guidance which is showing a big-time ridge setting up with an early season heat wave across the Midwest and eastern Great Lakes early to mid-next week.
This type of pattern is also an active one with several low-pressure systems possibly ejecting NE out of the Rockies next week with chances for rain and thunderstorms at times late this weekend through next week.
Depending on how the ridge sets up and the strength of the ridge will determine how warm will get in the Northland early next week, but there is a chance that will see high temperatures in the 70s and possibly even in the 80s in parts of the area ~May 8th through 11th.
Temperature Anomaly Forecast for next week (May 9-14).
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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