5:45 PM Tuesday, May 3, 2022
Three things to keep an eye on next week.
1: Mid-upper-level trough over the Pacific northwest extending east into Northern Rockies and Northern Plains (outlined in white).
2: Upper level low over western parts of the Atlantic Ocean (outlined in dark red).
3: Upper-level ridge extending from the Midwest to the Eastern Great Lakes and into eastern Canada (highlighted in black).
Watch on the animation below how the three things I highlighted in the above image evolve next week.
Trough out west more or less remains nearly stationary while eventually weakening a bit later next week.
Upper low over the west Atlantic retrogrades into the southeast U.S. due to the upper ridge to its north.
The upper Midwest including the Northland will be stuck in between the trough to the west and the big ridge to the east. What this means is that we should see more frequent rain events next week as upper-level disturbances eject NE out of the Rockies, however, if the ridge to our east builds more to the west, then we could up somewhat drier next week as most of the rain sets up farther west.
Here’s the 500mb forecast valid from May 8th through May 13th, 2022.
Although the rest of this week is looking dry across the Northland, a return to an active weather pattern is possible next week with above average precipitation (green) forecast across much of northern Minnesota, with near to below average precipitation (brown) in northern Wisconsin since that area will be closer to an upper-level ridge next week.
A half inch to an inch or more of rain is possible in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin next week.
The first of several rain chances comes Sunday with more chances for rain to follow throughout next week.
Sunshine was abundant in the Northland this afternoon with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to upper 50s with low to mid 40s closer to Lake Superior.
Highs on Wednesday will be in the 50s to around 60 degrees in the Northland, and after that we’re looking at mainly 60s for daytime highs Thursday through Saturday. Even warmer temperatures are possible next week, but there is uncertainty on just how warm we may get, but there continues to be a chance for 70 and maybe even 80-degree temperatures in parts of the Northland early to mid-next week. Note: It will be cooler near Lake Superior through this weekend due to a persistent northeast wind with highs in the upper 30s to upper 40s within about 10-20 miles of Lake Superior.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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