November Normals and Extremes for Duluth, MN; Long Range Forecast for November 2022

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4:49 PM Monday, October 31, 2022

November Normals and Extremes for Duluth, Minnesota

Normal high on the 1st: 45 F
Normal high on the 30th: 30 F

Normal low on the 1st: 29 F
Normal low on the 30th: 16 F

Average temperature for November: 29.8 F

Warmest November on record: 40.6 F set in 1899
Coldest November on record: 18.8 F set in 1959

Average precipitation for November: 1.96″

Wettest November on record: 5.08″ set in 2000
Driest November on record: 0.09″ set in 1917

Average snowfall for November: 14.1″

Snowiest November on record: 50.1″ set in 1991
Least snowy November on record: Trace set in 1928

9 days in November have at least 0.1″ of snow
4 days in November have at least 1.0″ of snow

4 days in November have a temperature of 50 or warmer
1 day in November have a temperature of 60 or warmer
1 day in November have a temperature of 0 or lower

Mean date for first subzero temperature in Duluth is November 30th

Earliest first subzero temperature in Duluth occurred on November 2nd (1951)

Latest first subzero temperature in Duluth occurred on January 11th (1914)

Astronomical Data for November at Duluth

Sunrise on the 1st: 7:51 AM CDT
Sunrise on the 30th: 7:31 AM CST

Sunset on the 1st: 5:53 PM CDT
Sunset on the 30th: 4:22 PM CST

Note: Daylight Saving Time ends on Sunday, November 6th at 2 AM.

Here’s a look at past November snowfall totals at Duluth, Minnesota from 2017 through 2021

Note: Average snowfall in November is 14.1″

2021: 5.5″
2020: 19.2″
2019: 27.7″
2018: 12.2″
2017: 10.5″

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LONG RANGE OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER 2022

Note: With how unusually warm the first few days of November look to be in the Northland, the odds favor warmer than normal temperatures as a whole for the month, but there are growing risks for colder temperatures at least during the 2nd week of November, but whether or not that carries over into mid to late November is uncertain, as is the level of cold, will it be enough to erase the huge positive temperature anomalies which will likely be in place after the 1st week of November, or will the cold be transient? Time will tell.

Model Forecasts

CFS model – Temperature Outlook

Above normal temperatures for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

NMME – Temperature Outlook

Above normal temperatures for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

CFS model – Precipitation Outlook

Near normal precipitation for all of northeast Minnesota and much of northwest Wisconsin.

NMME – Precipitation Outlook

Near normal precipitation for all of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

MODEL TRENDS

CFS model temperature anomaly trend for November 2022.

Above normal temperatures in orange and red
Below normal temperatures in blue colors

CFS model precipitation anomaly trend

Above normal precipitation in green colors
Below normal precipitation in yellow colors

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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