6:38 PM Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Snow continues in the Northland tonight and Sunday. Bands of moderate to heavy snow will continue to affect parts of the Northland tonight with snowfall rates of up to one half inch to one inch per hour in some areas.
- Dry slot will impact mainly southern portions of the Northland (south of Duluth) tonight into Sunday morning, and under this dry slot snow will diminish to light snow and there could even be a little freezing drizzle/drizzle.
- Persistent easterly flow crossing Lake Superior with 850mb temperatures of -8 to -11C will cause heavier lake enhanced/terrain enhanced snowfall along the North Shore and Twin Ports area tonight through Sunday afternoon.
- The focus for some lake enhanced snow will shift to the South Shore of Lake Superior by Sunday evening, lingering through early Monday morning as winds become north to northwest.
- Wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph are likely near Lake Superior tonight through Sunday night. Winds will be out of the east through Sunday morning, shifting to the north later Sunday afternoon/night. Areas of blowing snow are likely near Lake Superior due to these gusty winds, with significantly reduced visibilities with occasional brief whiteout conditions possible tonight.
- Temperatures will range from the mid-teens to mid 20s tonight. Highs Sunday will be in the mid 20s to low 30s.
For Duluth — Snow tonight and through the day Sunday. Snow should start to diminish Sunday evening. Occasional blowing snow will significantly reduce visibilities tonight and Sunday.
18z NAM 3km model radar forecast through 12 PM Monday.
Snowfall Reports from Saturday, March 11, 2023
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Totals below are thru late Saturday afternoon (ending between 3 and 6 PM)
1 NNW Nisswa, MN: 8.0″
Pequot Lakes, MN: 8.0″
Backus, MN: 8.0″
4 W Pine River, MN: 7.0″
6 SW Finlayson, MN: 6.8″
Aitkin, MN: 6.5″
3 ENE Breezy Point, MN: 6.3″
Brainerd, MN: 6.0″
8 SE Brainerd, MN: 6.0″
Palisade, MN: 5.0″
1 S Rutledge, MN: 5.0″
Moose Lake, MN: 4.0″
2 WNW Duluth, MN: 3.8″
Kettle River, MN: 3.0″
3 NE Duluth, MN: 2.5″
2 WNW Duluth, MN: 2.3″
3 E Payne, MN: 1.0″
Here’s my updated forecast for additional snowfall accumulations from this storm.
Note — Bulk of this snow falls by Sunday evening, but lingering lake effect snow is expected through Monday morning along the South Shore of Lake Superior in northwest Wisconsin.
Duluth: Snowfall storm totals of 10 to 16 inches by Sunday evening with up to 10 inches of snow for Superior and the far southern portion of the city of Duluth.
Surface low as of late Saturday afternoon was located near Jamestown, North Dakota. This low is forecast to track southeast passing near the Twin Cities Sunday morning and will reach southern Wisconsin by Sunday evening.
A strong mid/upper-level low was located a little NW of where the surface low was located late today, and this 500mb low will also track to the SE through Sunday evening.
A look at the storm impacting the northern Plains and upper Midwest today.
Goes-16 visible satellite loop ending 4:46 PM CT, Saturday, March 11, 2023.
Infrared satellite loop ending 4:46 PM CT, Saturday, March 11, 2023.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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