Windy tonight and Thursday with scattered snow and rain showers; Mild and Dry pattern next week; Snow and Rainfall Reports from Tuesday night-Wednesday

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6:22 PM Wednesday, November 8, 2023

-Gusty winds out of the west tonight and Thursday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph at times.

-Scattered snow and rain showers tonight through early Friday morning. Up to an inch of snow possible Thursday mainly in northern Minnesota. Less than 1″ of snow in Duluth.

-No major storms expected through November 19th.

-Warming trend begins Sunday and this warmer pattern looks like it’ll persist through much of next week and possibly beyond.

Note — It’s been a very wet fall in Duluth with 13.01″ of precipitation since September 1st through November 8th (ending at 4 PM on November 8th) Normal precipitation during this same period is 6.97″. Duluth is running +6.04″ above normal in precipitation since September 1st, and 187% of normal precipitation since September 1st.

Fall of 2023 in Duluth has seen 9+” more precipitation compared to last fall through November 8th.

Here’s a look at the daily precipitation totals in Duluth since September 1st, 2023.

Also note how many days have had at least a trace of precipitation so far this fall (45 days vs. 23 days which have had no precipitation)

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NAM 3km model radar forecast through 6 AM Friday.

Snow (blue)
Rain (green)

Pretty windy tonight and Thursday.

NAM 3km model wind gust forecast through 6 PM Thursday.

Parts of northeast Minnesota including the Higher Terrain along the North Shore and Arrowhead picked up a couple inches of snow last night into early this morning.

Snowfall Reports from 11/7-11/8/2023
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Grand Marais, MN 4 NNE: 5.0″
Hovland, MN 3 NW: 4.8″
Sawbill Lake, MN 10 ESE: 4.3″
Grand Marais, MN 2 N: 4.0″
Hovland, MN 7 WSW: 3.8″
Grand Marais, MN 4 W: 3.4″
Ely, MN 3 NW: 2.0″
Cook, MN: 2.0″
Finland, MN 3 SE: 1.6″
Tower, MN 4 S: 1.5″
Ely, MN 1 WNW: 1.2″
Snow Bank Lake, MN 2 SW: 1.1″
Embarrass, MN: 0.7″

24-Hour Precipitation Reports from 11/7-11/8/2023
Source: MesoWest

Note — Totals below are through 5:22 PM on the 9th.

Bay of Grand Marais, MN: 0.43″
Silver Bay, MN: 0.39″
Deer River, MN: 0.32″
Saginaw, MN: 0.28″
Hibbing, MN: 0.25″
Ely, MN: 0.22″
Schroeder, MN: 0.21″
French River, MN: 0.21″
Duluth Airport: 0.20″
Glidden, WI: 0.20″
Eveleth-Virginia, MN: 0.19″
Washburn, WI: 0.19″
Grand Rapids, MN: 0.18″
Littlefork, MN: 0.18″
Bigfork, MN: 0.16″
Isabella, MN: 0.16″
Hayward, WI: 0.16″
Esko, MN: 0.15″
Clam Lake, WI: 0.15″
International Falls, MN: 0.15″
Hill City, MN: 0.13″
Moose Lake, MN: 0.12″
Orr, MN: 0.11″
Minong, WI: 0.11″
Poplar, WI: 0.10″
Brainerd, MN: 0.09″
Duluth Sky Harbor Airport: 0.08″
Two Harbors, MN: 0.08″
McGregor, MN: 0.07″
Winter, WI: 0.06″
Solon Springs, WI: 0.05″
Superior Airport: 0.04″
Spooner, WI: 0.04″
Ashland, WI: 0.03″
Siren, WI: 0.02″
Webb Lake, WI: 0.02″

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Upper low and trough will move east-southeast out Ontario over the next 24 hours.

Cold air advection pattern across the Northland through Friday.

Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Wednesday, November 8, 2023 (loop time ends 3:50 PM CT)

Goes-16 water vapor loop from Wednesday, November 8, 2023 (loop time ends 4:40 PM CT)

It’s been pretty wet in northeast Minnesota the last few days.

1.00″ of precipitation has been recorded at the Duluth Airport from November 5-7, 2023. Normal amount is 0.21″. Departure of +0.79″ above normal from the 5th through 7th.

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NEXT WEEK’S PATTERN

We’re still looking at a trough over the western US next week with an upper-level ridge farther to the east, and this type of pattern should lead to some pretty mild temperatures in the Northland for much of next week.

Temperatures during each afternoon from Sunday through at least next Friday (Nov. 12-17) should range from the mid 40s to low-mid 50s in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin and these temperatures would be about +10 to +15 degrees or so above average for this time of the year.

As we head into Thanksgiving week the pattern becomes more uncertain, but at least right now it looks like we could continue to see above average temperatures in the Northland.

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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