6:23 PM Tuesday, November 14, 2023
A pretty quiet weather pattern will continue in the Northland through this weekend and possibly all the way through Thanksgiving as the main storm tracks stay well northwest of the area, and also well south of the area.
About the only real weather issue the next few days will continue to be some gusty winds with southwesterly winds Wednesday with gusts to around 25 mph possible, but Thursday could end up windier as we see a tighter pressure gradient develop out ahead of an eastward moving low-pressure system and cold front which will move out of the northern Rockies. Wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph are possible Thursday.
A few flurries or sprinkles are possible Thursday evening-early Friday morning as a cold front moves across the area but no snow accumulation is expected.
High temps in the mid 40s to mid 50s in the Northland Wednesday and ranging from the lower 60s in eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin to the mid 40s in northern Minnesota Thursday. Highs Friday in the 30s to lower 40s which is where we should be for high temps at this time of the year.
We had a very good day of mixing across the area with strong southwest winds at 850mb of upwards of 40 to 55 knots with gusts of 25 to 45 mph down near the surface, and this wind aided in the warmth we saw this afternoon.
High temperature reports from today, November 14, 2023.
*=New daily record high
Ashland, WI: 61 (record high 64 set in 1930, 1953 and 1990)
Brainerd, MN: 60 (record high 67 set in 1953)
Duluth, MN 59 (record high 63 set in 1953)
International Falls, MN: *58 (previous record high 56 set in 1953)
Hibbing, MN: 56 (record high 62 set in 1953)
Here’s a look at temperatures from early Tuesday afternoon. Lots of warmth out there today.
It was warmer at Superior, Wisconsin (62) compared to Pensacola, Florida this afternoon (60)
We’ve seen some huge changes in the 500mb pattern in the Euro model over the last few days in regard to next week’s pattern.
2 days ago, the Euro model was showing a colder pattern along with a rather strong trough covering the western U.S. This type of pattern would’ve increased the chances of getting some rain or snow in the Northland next week.
But fast forward 2 days to today and the Euro model has changed big time, with a ridge and a milder pattern covering the western U.S. into the upper Midwest with troughs farther north/east, and this type of pattern would lead to a much drier pattern for the Northland next week.
Here’s the new EPS model run from today for next week’s temperature forecast via EPS model.
And here’s what the EPS model was showing yesterday for next week’s temperature forecast.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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