6:13 PM Tuesday, December 5, 2023
Warmer temperatures on the way the next few days with highs Wednesday in the mid 30s to low 40s in the Northland with 50s in parts of southwest Minnesota with even some 60s in parts of southern South Dakota.
Thursday looks even warmer with temps near 70 possible in parts of southern South Dakota with lower 60s in southwest Minnesota with 40s in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, but an isolated 50-degree temperature can’t be ruled out from Brainerd to Hinckley to Hayward Thursday afternoon.

Note — No widespread or significant precipitation is expected in the Northland for the rest of this week and through much of next week, although a few snow/rain showers are possible Friday mainly in northern Minnesota but little to no snow accumulation is expected.
Snowfall trends for Duluth
It doesn’t look like will be seeing any significant snows in Duluth looking out the next 2 weeks according to the EPS model 50-member snowfall forecast which takes us to December 20th. There’s only 1 out of 50 EPS members showing >10″ snow totals in Duluth for the next 2 weeks, the probability of that happening is 2%, and this is down from 6% a few days ago.

Top 3 snowfall events so far for the 2023-2024 snow season in Duluth
1: 1.2″ on October 30th
2: 0.7″ on December 4th
3: 0.5″ on November 26th and November 11th
Snowfall Reports from December 4-5, 2023
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Washburn, WI 2 WSW: 1.7″
Pillager, MN 2 N: 1.7″
Brainerd, MN 5 NE: 1.4″
Herbster, WI: 1.3″
Lake Shore, MN: 1.3″
Sarona, WI 4 NE: 1.2″
Clam Lake, WI 3 WNW: 1.1″
Ashland, WI: 1.0″
Spooner, WI 2 SE: 1.0″
Tamarack, MN 2 SE: 1.0″
Mellen, WI: 1.0″
Nisswa, MN 3 NE: 1.0″
Wentworth, WI: 1.0″
Cornucopia, WI 1 SSE: 1.0″
Gile, WI: 1.0″
Duluth, MN: 0.7″
One strong upper-level ridge over the northern and central Plains moves east Wednesday and Thursday which will lead to dry weather and mild temperatures across the upper Midwest.

And looking at next week shows more of the same for the Northland with above average temperatures forecast to persist.
EPS model temperature anomaly forecast for December 11-16, 2023.

EPS model shows another potentially strong upper-level ridge setting up over the northern Plains mid to late next week which would once again lead to mild temps and mostly dry conditions in our area next week.

Thanks for reading!
Tim

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