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Rain changes to some snow late tonight/early Friday morning; Cooler temperatures the next few days

5:25 PM Thursday, February 8, 2024

Duluth area: Rain showers this evening. Rain changes to snow showers early Friday morning around 2 AM to 5 AM. Snow showers and flurries at times during the day Friday. Total snowfall accumulations <1″. Gusty west winds 20 to 30 mph develop tonight and continue into Friday. Temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s on Friday.

HRRR model simulated radar forecast through 6 PM Friday.

Rain (green)
Snow (blue)

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A strong area of low pressure was located near Bemidji Minnesota late this afternoon. This low will continue to track toward the northeast through Friday morning with no further strengthening expected.

Seeing a broad mid and upper-level trough across the northern Plains, upper Midwest and central Canada today. This trough will exit to the east on Friday.

In the warmer air southeast of today’s low we’re seeing scattered strong to severe thunderstorms develop this afternoon in parts of southern Wisconsin into north central Illinois where dew points have risen into the upper 40s to lower 50s this afternoon, while elevated CAPE has climbed to around 200-900 J/kg.

We’ve seen several reports of hail <1″ diameter with the storms this afternoon in parts of the Midwest, and more recently a brief tornado was reported 2 miles south of Henry Illinois at 4:42 PM today.

Quite the system lifting north/northeast across the upper Midwest today.

Goes-16 visible satellite loop from today.

Goes-16 water vapor loop from today.

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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