7:57 PM Friday, May 24, 2024
Today, another potent mid-latitude cyclone is traversing the northern Plains and upper Midwest, delivering a range of weather phenomena to the area.
Today, parts of northern North Dakota (north of Minot and Devils Lake) experienced accumulations of snow, while areas further south and east had sporadic rain and a number of thunderstorms.
Today, near Lake Superior, very strong northeast winds were recorded with a peak gust reaching 52 mph at the Duluth Harbor, 51 mph at the Duluth Airport, and varying between 30 to 40 mph in other areas of the Northland.
Goes-16 water vapor loop ending 6:36 PM CT, Friday, May 24, 2024.
A strong low-pressure area in far northwest Minnesota this early evening is expected to move slowly north/northeastward through Sunday.
An occluded front, or a wind shift boundary, will keep moving northeast from central Minnesota and western Wisconsin tonight, with winds shifting to the west following the boundary’s passage. It is expected that this wind shift from northeast to west will happen in Duluth before midnight tonight, with west or southwest winds continuing into Saturday. Breezy conditions are anticipated to persist tonight and Saturday, with wind gusts reaching up to 35 mph.
- The Northland is forecasted to have mostly dry conditions on Saturday, with the possibility of showers and isolated thunderstorms developing later in the day and into the night over areas of east central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.
- Rain chances for Sunday appear highest over parts of northwest Wisconsin due to another low-pressure system tracking northeast from the central Plains. However, this system is projected to follow a more southerly/easterly path compared to previous systems, resulting in significantly lower rain chances for northern Minnesota, the North Shore, and the Twin Ports area on Sunday.
NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid 7 AM Saturday to 7 PM Sunday.
Take a look at the blue hues in northern North Dakota and beyond the border today; they signify snowfall on this 24th of May 2024.
Radar loop ending 6:50 PM CT, Friday, May 24, 2024.
Today’s weather system brought the heaviest rainfall to the Northland, particularly the northwest region of northern Minnesota, with reported totals ranging from a quarter inch to 0.40 inches. In contrast, areas farther south and east, including the Twin Ports, received significantly less precipitation, with the Duluth Airport recording only 0.01 inch of rain.
Rainfall Reports from Friday, May 24, 2024
Source: MesoWest
Walker, MN: 0.40″
Brainerd, MN: 0.39″
Northome, MN: 0.38″
Littlefork, MN: 0.33″
Orr, MN: 0.28″
International Falls, MN: 0.26″
Nashwauk, MN: 0.21″
Grand Rapids, MN: 0.21″
Bigfork, MN: 0.19″
Hill City, MN: 0.18″
Hibbing, MN: 0.17″
Deer River, MN: 0.15″
Hinckley, MN: 0.12″
Eveleth-Virginia, MN: 0.10″
Poplar, WI: 0.10″
Moose Lake, MN: 0.09″
Ely, MN: 0.09″
Isabella, MN: 0.07″
McGregor, MN: 0.04″
Winton, MN: 0.04″
Saginaw, MN: 0.03″
Bay of Grand Marais, MN: 0.02″
Hermantown, MN: 0.02″
Solon Springs, WI: 0.01″
Duluth Airport: 0.01″
Hayward, WI: 0.01″
Snowfall reports from Friday, May 24, 2024
- 13 N Dunseith: 6.0″
- 3 N Belcourt, ND: 6.0″
- 11 ENE Carbury, ND: 4.5″
- Belcourt, ND: 2.0″
Goes-16 visible satellite loop ending 6:26 PM CT, Friday, May 24, 2024.
Saturday is expected to be the warmest day of the holiday weekend near Lake Superior, with an offshore breeze bringing temperatures into the upper 60s to around 70 degrees.
Cooler temperatures will accompany the return of a northeast wind near Lake Superior on Sunday with milder temperatures extending further inland.
There is an impending outbreak of severe thunderstorms, which may include several strong tornadoes, expected on both Saturday and Sunday across regions of the central and southern Plains. This system is predicted to move eastward, affecting areas of the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys by Sunday.
Note: The maximum risk for Saturday is rated at level 4 out of 5, indicating a moderate risk.
Note: The maximum risk for Sunday is categorized as level 3 out of 5, indicating an enhanced risk.
The NAM 3km model is displaying numerous helicity tracks for this weekend, suggesting the possibility of rotating supercell thunderstorms. These storms may generate tornadoes, along with very large hail and damaging winds.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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