7:22 PM Saturday, June 1, 2024
An active weather pattern will continue into next week.
Two weather systems are expected to bring rain to the Northland, with the first arriving Sunday afternoon and continuing into Monday morning, and the second on Tuesday. Following these, an upper-level system is forecast to develop and remain nearly stationary to the north/east of the Northland later next week into the weekend, potentially bringing occasional showers to the area.
The first system will move east-northeast out of the Northern Rockies on Sunday. The strongest forcing is expected to spread across the Northland from west to east on Sunday night, which is when the heaviest rain is anticipated, lasting into early Monday morning.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms may occur in the Northland throughout Sunday, with an increased likelihood of rain and scattered thunderstorms moving eastward across the region Sunday evening and into the night.
NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM Monday.
Severe Thunderstorm Outlook for Sunday
The risk of strong to severe thunderstorms exists Sunday night, primarily over the western parts of the Northland, with the greatest likelihood near the Brainerd Lakes area. The primary threat from these severe weather conditions is damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph.
Note: No severe weather is expected in Duluth Sunday night.
Heavy rainfall may cause some flash flooding Sunday night into early Monday morning, particularly in the yellow-marked area on the map provided.
The upcoming weather system, ascending northeast from the Northern Rockies and Western High Plains on Tuesday morning, appears to be even more potent than Sunday’s system.
The forecast for Tuesday indicates increased moisture and instability across the Northland, with dew points expected to reach 60 or higher and CAPE values possibly surpassing 1000 J/kg.
The Northland faces the risk of a few strong storms, particularly on Tuesday afternoon and into the early evening due to the higher amounts of moisture and instability.
A significant and robust upper-level system is anticipated to form over the Great Lakes by the end of next week. This system may persist, leading to cooler temperatures and the possibility of intermittent rain showers in the Northland mid to late next week and possibly into next weekend.
Another bout of rain affected a large portion of northwest Wisconsin, as well as the far eastern regions of Minnesota and the North Shore of Lake Superior on Friday night. The heaviest rainfall was recorded in parts of northwest Wisconsin, with some areas receiving totals of half an inch or more.
Rainfall Reports from Friday night-Saturday morning, May 31-June 1, 2024
Source: MesoWest
Washburn, WI: 0.69″
Cable, WI: 0.64″
Hayward, WI: 0.55″
Glidden, WI: 0.54″
Winter, WI: 0.50″
Clam Lake, WI: 0.49″
Ashland, WI: 0.48″
Minong, WI: 0.37″
Danbury, WI: 0.31″
Odanah, WI: 0.31″
Two Harbors, MN: 0.30″
Solon Springs, WI: 0.29″
Hinckley, MN: 0.27″
Hermantown, MN: 0.26″
Duluth Airport: 0.25″
Poplar, WI: 0.20″
Duluth Sky Harbor Airport: 0.16″
Bay of Grand Marais, MN: 0.12″
Webb Lake, WI: 0.12″
French River, MN: 0.11″
Saginaw, MN: 0.04″
Isabella, MN: 0.01″
Moose Lake, MN: 0.02″
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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