April 30, 2014 – Weather report. Yuck!

/Issued 4:28 PM CDT, Wednesday, April 30, 2014/

Another 0.10-0.25″ of precipitation is possible by 8 AM Thursday.  Good sleeping weather I guess. Source, 19z RAP model.


















Here’s a cool map showing how many tornado watches per year (1999-2008 average) Source, Paul Douglas St. Cloud Times.

In Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin we typically see 2-3 tornado watches per year.

















Precipitation report for April 29-30, 2014 ending at 7 AM Today
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  0.38″
International Falls, MN:  0.18″
Grand Marais, MN:  0.27″
Hibbing, MN:  0.14″
Ashland, WI:  0.73″
Hayward, WI:  0.40″
Bruno, MN:  0.45″
Duluth, MN (NWS)  0.40″
Floodwood, MN:  0.32″
4 E of Island Lake, MN:  0.42″
2 S of Tower, MN:  0.37″
Finland, MN:  0.51″
Gurney, WI:  0.58″
Upson, WI:  0.51″
9 N of Bayfield, WI:  0.35″
4 W of Clam Lake, WI:  0.60″
Gordon, WI:  0.37″
Winter, WI:  0.43″

Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Low pressure of 1006mb was over Western Wisconsin as of 4 PM Today with high pressure of 1032mb covering West Central Montana.  Another dismal day in the Northland with widespread clouds, drizzle, rain, and some fog.  There was also some snow or mixed rain/snow during the Morning hours over parts of the Northland.  Highs were in the 30s and 40s with north winds at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (April 30)

Low pressure at the surface and aloft combined with an upper level trough over the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes will continue to bring rain to the Northland Tonight.  A few locales may see some snow mix in with the rain Overnight, but wintry precipitation should be much more isolated compared to the past few days.  Lows will be in the 30s with north or northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph.

Thursday and Thursday Night (May 1)

An upper level trough along with an area of low pressure will be moving east-northeast and away from the Northland.  This system will continue to bring some rain and showers to the area on Thursday but the coverage and intensity of the rain should decrease during the Afternoon and into the Evening hours.  Mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies are expected Tomorrow with mostly cloudy skies Tomorrow Night.  Highs will be in the 40s and 50s with lows mainly in the 30s.  Northwest winds on Thursday will shift to the west or southwest Thursday Night.  Wind speeds will be in the 10 to 20 mph range.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Friday through Sunday (May 2-4)

A few showers are possible Friday and Saturday as a couple of disturbances drop southeast into the Upper Midwest.  Dry weather is expected for Sunday.  Highs will be in the 40s and 50s during this period with lows Friday Night and Saturday Night in the 20s and 30s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(May 5-10)

Near to below average temperatures are forecast through this period.  Some rain could return to the Northland between the 6th-9th.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Drizzle, rain, fog.  Yuck!  Low 33 to 37.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday…  Considerable cloudiness.  Showers.  High 44 to 49.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  A few showers possible mainly early.  Low 33 to 37.  Wind west at 10 to 15 mph.

.Friday…  Considerable cloudiness.  Scattered showers possible.  High 46 to 51.

.Friday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Spotty showers possible early.  Low 32 to 36.

.Saturday…  Partly sunny.  Showers possible.  High 45 to 50.

.Saturday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 30 to 35.

.Sunday…  Partly cloudy.  High 47 to 52.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  57
Low:   36

Sunrise Thursday:  5:54 AM CDT
Sunset Thursday:   8:19 PM CDT

Tim

April 29, 2014 – Weather report. Gloomy weather through Thursday; 50s possible by Friday; Snowfall and storm reports included in this post.

/Issued 3:14 PM CDT, Tuesday, April 29, 2014/

Upper Midwest radar loop ending at 4:15 PM CDT Today.  Source, WSI.  Yeah this is a weird storm. Snowing to our east and raining to the west.

Blue=Snow
Green=Rain
Pink=Mixed precipitation

Note:  There’s been some pretty heavy bands of snow in parts of Northwest Wisconsin Today with snowfall rates approaching 1″ an hour.












*Snowfall reports for April 29, 2014*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Seeley, WI (Sawyer County)  4.0″
2 W of Hayward, WI (Sawyer County)  3.3″
Odanah, WI (Ashland County)  1.5″
Gile, WI (Iron County)  2.0″

*Local Storm Reports for April 27-28, 2014*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

4/27 12:00 AM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  Emily, MN (Crow Wing County)  2 trees down in Emily.  1 tree took down a power line which then started a fire.

4/27 10:16 PM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  2 S of Garrison, MN (Crow Wing County)  Ice on Lake Mille Lacs forced over Highway 169 near Twin Pines Resort.

4/28 10:02 AM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  Scotts Corner, MN (Carlton County) 12-18″ birch trees uprooted on the Southwest corner of Chub Lake.

4/28 11:10 AM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  3 w of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  Tree down on a car on Morris Thomas Road off Haines Road.

4/28 11:53 AM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  3 SW of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  Around 15 pine trees snapped.

4/28 12:14 PM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  Proctor, MN (St. Louis County)  Tree fell on top of a house across the street from the Proctor Fairgrounds.

4/28 1:05 PM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  Lakeside-Lester Park, MN (St. Louis County)  Tree reported fallen on car in the Lakeside neighborhood near 41st ave. East and Cooke Street.

4/28 1:20 PM:  NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  Proctor, MN (St. Louis County)  10″ diameter tree uprooted.  Ice flying through the air.

Peak wind gusts from April 28, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

1 N of Knife River, MN:  63 mph
Duluth Airport:  55 mph
2 SW of Proctor, MN:  54 mph
2 E of Birchdale, MN:  52 mph
Sky Harbor, MN:  49 mph
Cloquet, MN:  48 mph
Two Harbors, MN:  46 mph
Silver Bay, MN:  45 mph
International Falls, MN:  45 mph
Ely, MN:  40 mph
Aitkin, MN:  40 mph
Superior, WI:  40 mph
Phillips, WI:  37 mph
Cook, MN:  36 mph

Precipitation report for April 27-28, 2014 (ending around 7 AM on the 28th)
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Brainerd, MN:  0.41″
Ashland, WI:  0.23″
Hayward, WI:  0.52″
4 W of Clam Lake, WI:  0.45″

Precipitation report for April 28-29, 2014 (ending around 7 AM on the 29th)

Brainerd, MN:  0.29″
Hayward, WI:  0.60″
7 NW of Brainerd, MN:  0.71″
12 N of Isle, MN:  0.44″
3 E of Wright, MN:  0.51″
Cass Lake, MN:  0.95″
Floodwood, MN:  0.55″
4 W of Clam Lake, WI:  0.55″
Gordon, WI:  0.62″

Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

April 20-26, 2014

High temperatures:

4/20:  66F/14 degrees above normal
4/21:  60F/8 degrees above normal
4/22:  53F/Normal
4/23:  50F/3 degrees below normal
4/24:  37F/17 degrees below normal
4/25:  43F/11 degrees below normal
4/26:  41F/14 degrees below normal

Low temperatures:

4/20:  31F/1 degree below normal
4/21:  36F/4 degrees above normal
4/22:  30F/3 degrees below normal
4/23:  30F/3 degrees below normal
4/24:  32F/2 degrees below normal
4/25:  30F/4 degrees below normal
4/26:  30F/4 degrees below normal

Total precipitation:  0.89″
Normal:  0.62″
Departure:  +0.27″

So much for the quiet severe weather season

The past few days have been very active with widespread severe thunderstorms and tornadoes across the Central and Southern U.S.  The numbers listed below are unfiltered and preliminary.  Source, NWS/Storm Prediction Center.

April 27th, 2014:

301 severe weather reports
36 tornado reports

April 28, 2014:

356 severe weather reports
88 tornado reports

April 29th, 2014 through 3 PM:

14 severe weather reports
4 tornado reports

Note:  3-day total of 671 severe weather reports and 128 tornado reports.

A very wet April in the Twin Cites and St. Cloud

2nd wettest April on record so far at Minneapolis/St. Paul with 6.09″ of precipitation through 1 PM on April 29th.  1st place is 7.00″ which was set in 2001.

3rd wettest April on record so far at St. Cloud with 5.81″ of precipitation through 1 PM on April 29th.  1st place is 8.42″ which was set in 2001.

Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

A powerful spring storm continued to affect the Northland for the 3rd day in a row now.  As of 3 PM Today, low pressure of 1000mb was over Southeast Iowa with widespread snow and rain affecting Northwest Wisconsin with this precipitation backing west into Eastern and Northeast sections of Minnesota This Afternoon.  Northern Minnesota stayed dry with some sunshine which led to warmer temperatures compared to locations farther south/east.  Highs Today ranged from the mid 40s to low 50s in Western-Northern parts of the area with 30s elsewhere.  Winds were out of the northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts over 30 mph continuing especially near Lake Superior.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence High.

Tonight through Wednesday Night (April 29-30)

April is ending on a very gloomy note as a slow moving surface and upper level area of low pressure lift north/northeast out of Iowa.  This system will continue to bring occasional rain/showers to the Northland. Temperatures Tonight and Wednesday Morning will be cold enough in spots to support snow or a mix of snow, sleet, and rain.  The temperature profile will become less favorable for any frozen precipitation Tomorrow into Tomorrow Night.

Lows Tonight and Wednesday Night will be in the 30s with highs Tomorrow in the 30s and 40s.  Northeast winds Tonight at 10 to 25 mph will shift to the north at 10 to 20 mph for Wednesday and Wednesday Night.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High

Thursday through Saturday (May 1-3)

Scattered showers will likely continue on Thursday as low pressure begins to pull away as it lifts through the Great Lakes.  There will be additional chances for spotty showers though for Friday and Saturday as a few disturbances approach from the northwest.  High temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s Thursday and Friday and mainly in the 40s on Saturday.  Lows Thursday Night and Friday Night will mainly be in the 30s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(May 4-9)

Near to below average temperatures are forecast through this period.  Some rain is possible between the 6th-9th as a storm system comes out of the Western U.S.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Breezy with rain and snow.  Some sleet is also possible.  Low 31 to 34.  Wind northeast at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible mainly This Evening.  Total snowfall accumulations of 1-2″ possible.

.Wednesday…  Occasional showers.  Some snow is possible early.  Mostly cloudy.  High 38 to 43.  Wind north at 10 to 20 mph.

.Wednesday Night…  Occasional showers.  Mostly cloudy.  Low 34 to 38.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday…  Occasional showers.  Mostly cloudy.  High 44 to 49.

.Thursday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 33 to 37.

.Friday…  Scattered showers possible.  Considerable cloudiness.  High 50 to 55.

.Friday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 33 to 37.

.Saturday…  Considerable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 48 to 53.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  56
Low:   36

Sunrise Wednesday:  5:55 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday:   8:18 PM CDT

Tim

April 27, 2014 – Weather report. Powerful spring storm this week – high winds, ice, rain, snow; Ice Storm Warning in effect.

/Issued 3:27 PM CDT, Sunday, April 27, 2014/

Ice Storm Warning in effect for the area shaded in purple on this map.  More information below.

Winter weather headlines
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*ICE STORM WARNING*

An ice storm warning has been issued for portions of Northeastern Minnesota.

Timing:

9 PM This Evening until 2 PM CDT Monday.

Counties included in the warning:

Carlton MN
Southern St. Louis MN

Some cities included in the warning:

Moose Lake
Cromwell
Carlton
Esko
Cloquet
Floodwood
Duluth
Brookston

Discussion:

Periods of light to moderate freezing rain Tonight into Monday.

Total ice accumulations:

A quarter to half inch of ice is possible in the warned area with the greatest potential for significant icing expected to be from Proctor, Esko, Carlton, Arnold, the city of Duluth and immediate adjacent locales, this also includes the Highway 61 corridor between Duluth and Two Harbors.

Winds:

East to northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph.

Impacts:

Trees and power lines may be damaged or downed by the combination of the weight of ice and winds resulting in power outages.  Roads especially bridges, ramps, overpasses and sidewalks may be icy and hazardous and some roads may be partially or completely blocked by downed trees and power lines late Tonight and Monday Morning.

**An ice storm warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation may make travel dangerous.  Damage to trees and power lines may occur resulting in local power outages and some threat is also there for tree branches to block roads.  Ice accumulations and winds will likely lead to snapped power lines and falling tree branches that add to the danger**

—————————

*ICE STORM WARNING*

Timing:

9 PM This Evening until 2 PM CDT Monday.

Counties included in the warning:

Central St. Louis MN
Southern Lake MN

Some cities included in the warning:

Cotton
Two Harbors
Silver Bay
Finland

Note:  This ice storm warning does not include the city of Hibbing or any of the other Iron Range cities where no ice accumulation is expected.

Discussion:

Periods of light to moderate freezing rain Tonight into Monday.

Total ice accumulations:

A quarter to half inch of ice is possible in the warned area with the greatest potential for significant icing expected to be from Proctor, Esko, Carlton, Arnold, the city of Duluth and immediate adjacent locales, this also includes the Highway 61 corridor between Duluth and Two Harbors.

Winds:

East to northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph.

Impacts:

Trees and power lines may be damaged or downed by the combination of the weight of ice and winds resulting in power outages.  Roads especially bridges, ramps, overpasses and sidewalks may be icy and hazardous and some roads may be partially or completely blocked by downed trees and power lines late Tonight and Monday Morning.

**An ice storm warning means significant amounts of ice accumulation may make travel dangerous.  Damage to trees and power lines may occur resulting in local power outages and some threat is also there for tree branches to block roads.  Ice accumulations and winds will likely lead to snapped power lines and falling tree branches that add to the danger**

Here’s the >.25″ ice accumulation forecast valid through Monday.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Green=Moderate risk for >.25″ of ice accumulation.
Blue=Slight risk for >.25″ of ice accumulation.

————————–

Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Strong area of low pressure averaging 984mb was over extreme Northwest Kansas as of 3 PM Today with high pressure averaging 1036mb over Northern Ontario/Southern Hudson Bay.  The first of what will be multiple waves of precipitation in association with the Central Plains storm affected the Southern portion of the Northland This Morning into the midday hours with rain but cold air near Lake Superior led to mixed sleet, freezing rain, and rain with a light accumulation of ice especially on trees and power lines.  By late This Afternoon some rain continued to fall in Northwest Wisconsin and over parts of East Central Minnesota. Northern Minnesota and the Arrowhead stayed dry through the day.  High temperatures were in the 30s and 40s with strong east winds at 10 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 40 mph.

U.S. radar loop ending at 4:15 PM CDT.  Source, WSI.

This is one powerful spring storm with snow over the Rockies and severe thunderstorms and tornadoes from Nebraska and Iowa south through the Arklatex.












Water vapor satellite image from 4:25 PM CDT Today.  Source, COD website.

L=Low pressure center at 4 PM Today.

Blue area=Rain-snow changing to snow.

Black area=Outbreak of severe t-storms and tornadoes.

Powerful upper level jet and mid/upper level troughs going negatively tilted.  Monster spring storm!

















Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (April 27)

Low pressure moves slowly into Nebraska Tonight with high pressure over Ontario and Hudson Bay. Northern Minnesota and the Arrowhead region should remain dry Tonight, but further south expect periods of rain.  Colder air coming off Lake Superior will lead to freezing rain and possibly some sleet along the North Shore of Lake Superior, mainly from Silver Bay and Two Harbors through Duluth and down toward Esko, Cloquet, and Carlton…This would also include adjacent higher terrain areas inland from Lake Superior.

Low temperatures Tonight will be in the 30s with east to northeast winds at 10 to 25 mph with gusts from 30 to 40+ mph.

Monday and Monday Night (April 28)

Strong area of low pressure will churn through Central/Eastern Nebraska Tomorrow before moving into Western-Southern Iowa by daybreak Tuesday.  This storm will continue to produce rain across the Southern half of the Northland while Northern Minnesota and the Arrowhead have a lesser chance for rain Tomorrow.

An area of cold air will linger over the Southwestern shore of Lake Superior on Monday which could lead to more freezing rain mainly from Silver Bay and Two Harbors through Duluth and down toward Esko, Cloquet, and Carlton…This would also include adjacent higher terrain areas inland from Lake Superior.

Highs will range from the 30s near Lake Superior with 40s and maybe even a few 50s elsewhere.  Lows Monday Night will be in the 20s and 30s.  East to northeast winds continue this period at 10 to 25 mph with gusts of 30-40+ mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tuesday through Thursday (April 29-May 1)

Low pressure at the surface and aloft will continue to move slowly toward the east/northeast through this period with the center of the low moving from Iowa to the Northern Great Lakes.  Periods of rain which could be mixed with snow at times should continue to impact the Northland from Tuesday through Thursday. High temperatures will be in the 30s and 40s with lows mainly in the 30s for Tuesday Night and Wednesday Night.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(May 2-7)

Below average temperatures are forecast during this period.  A few rain showers are still possible on the 2nd and then some rain or perhaps a little bit of snow is possible around the 4th.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

Event:  *ICE STORM WARNING*
Timing:  9 PM Tonight until 2 PM CDT Monday.

.Tonight…  Windy.  Periods of freezing rain and rain.  Low 30 to 33.  Wind east to northeast at 20 to 35 mph with gusts over 40 mph.

.Monday…  Windy.  Periods of freezing rain and rain.  High 33 to 35.  Wind east to northeast at 20 to 35 mph with gusts over 40 mph.

.Monday Night…  Some rain or mixed precipitation possible.  Windy.  Low 30 to 33.  Wind east to northeast at 15 to 30 mph with higher gusts possible.

.Tuesday…  Rain or snow possible.  High 33 to 36.

.Tuesday Night…  Rain or snow possible.  Low 31 to 33.

.Wednesday…  Rain possible.  High 35 to 40.

.Wednesday Night…  Rain possible.  Low 33 to 35.

.Thursday…  Rain possible.  High 38 to 43.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  55
Low:   35

Sunrise Monday:  5:58 AM CDT
Sunset Monday:   8:15 PM CDT

Tim

April 26, 2014 – Weather report. Major spring storm with high winds, ice, rain, snow during the next few days; Pictures of Lake Superior (Park Point) included in this post.

/Issued 4:29 PM CDT, Saturday, April 26, 2014/

Ice accumulation forecast for Sunday Night through Monday.  .25″-.75″ of ice accumulation is possible along the North Shore of Lake Superior per the 15z SREF model from Today.














.25″ or greater ice accumulation forecast from the Weather Prediction Center valid for Sunday Night and Monday.

Green=Moderate risk for >.25″ of ice accumulation
Blue=Slight risk for >.25″ of ice accumulation

















7-day precipitation forecast valid through May 3, 2014.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Yup it still looks wet and possibly white and icy over parts of the Northland.  Impressive QPF totals showing up with widespread 1-2″+ amounts possible.
















Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

A few flurries and snow showers occurred This Morning around the Twin Ports, otherwise the Northland stayed dry Today under partly to mostly sunny skies.  High temperatures ranged from the 30s near Lake Superior to the 40s and 50s elsewhere.  Winds were out of the east at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts near Lake Superior.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (April 26)

Deep low pressure averaging 985-990mb will move out of the Rockies and into the Western High Plains by dawn.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies will be found in our area Tonight with the possibility for some light rain over Southern parts of the Northland.  Low temperatures will be in the 20s and 30s with east winds at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts near Lake Superior.

Sunday and Sunday Night (April 27)

A powerful area of low pressure averaging 980-984mb will move slowly through Nebraska during this period with high pressure of >1040mb covering Ontario and Hudson Bay.  Strong east winds will occur due to the pressure difference between the low and high.  Expect wind speeds of 15 to 25 mph this period with gusts of 30-40+ mph likely developing near Lake Superior.

Precipitation will also attempt to push north into our area but it remains to be seen as to how far north the precipitation will get, and how heavy will it be.

Locations near Lake Superior, especially from the Twin Ports and North Shore as well as higher terrain areas adjacent to Lake Superior could see a mix bag of precipitation types ranging from snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain.

Precipitation that falls elsewhere should stay as rain.  Note:  Far Northern Minnesota through the Arrowhead should remain dry Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night.

High temperatures will be in the 30s and 40s with the coolest temperatures near Lake Superior.  Lows Sunday Night will be in the 20s and 30s.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Monday through Wednesday (April 28-30)

Little change in the weather pattern during this period with a strong surface and upper level low and an upper level trough covering the Plains, Upper Midwest, and Great Lakes while an upper level ridge covers Ontario and Hudson Bay.  Expect rounds of precipitation to affect most of the Northland from Monday-Wednesday. Temperatures could remain cold enough to produce snow, sleet, or freezing rain at times especially near Lake Superior.

Note:  There is a potential for a significant amount of ice and or snow accumulation with this storm over Northeast Minnesota – mainly for areas that are near Lake Superior.  Winter weather headlines could be issued by Sunday.  Stay tuned.

High temperatures will be in the 30s and 40s from Monday through Wednesday with lows Monday Night and Tuesday Night in the 20s and 30s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(May 1-6)

Showers of rain or snow could linger into Thursday (May 1st) as a slow moving area of low pressure continues it’s slow shift north through the Great Lakes and East Central Canada.  Could see another system take aim at the Northland sometime during the 4th-6th with rain or possibly even some snow during that time.  Below average temperatures are forecast through this period.

Ventured down to Park Point (Southwestern shore of Lake Superior) Today.  Still looks impressive with a lot of ice still covering Lake Superior here in late April.  Mountains of ice piles down on Park Point, and the ice will probably get packed in even more during the next couple of days as very strong ENE winds develop. There were also some lake effect snow showers moving onshore This Morning.  Note the whitish appearance (streaks in the sky) in photo number 3.















5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Breezy.  Mostly clear This Evening.  Becoming mostly cloudy late.  Light rain, freezing rain, or sleet possible Overnight.  Low 27 to 32.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

.Sunday…  Windy.  Mostly cloudy.  Some light rain, freezing rain, or sleet possible especially during the Morning.  High 32 to 35.  Wind east to northeast at 20 to 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph possible.

.Sunday Night…  Windy.  Freezing rain, sleet, snow, or rain.  Low 30 to 32.  Wind east to northeast at 20 to 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph possible.

.Monday…  Windy.  Freezing rain, sleet, snow, or rain.  High 32 to 35.  Wind east to northeast at 20 to 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph possible.

.Monday Night…  Rain or snow possible.  Low 30 to 32.

.Tuesday…  Rain or snow possible.  High 32 to 36.

.Tuesday Night…  Rain or snow possible.  Low 30 to 32.

.Wednesday…  Rain or snow possible.  High 33 to 38.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  55
Low:   34

Sunrise Sunday:  6:00 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday:   8:14 PM CDT

Tim

April 25, 2014 – Weather report. 2013-14 is now the 3rd snowiest on record in Duluth; Snowfall report from Thursday; Strong winds and possible precipitation late this weekend.

/Issued 5:08 PM CDT, Friday, April 25, 2014/

Here’s the 1/4″ or greater ice accumulation probability forecast valid for Sunday Evening-Monday.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.














The next 7 days has the potential to be quite wet across much of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes with widespread 1-2″+ precipitation totals possible, this forecast is valid through Friday, May 2, 2014.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.
















The weather pattern is a sluggish/blocked up one next week with an upper level ridge to our north and an upper low to our southwest.  Here’s the 500mb forecast for Monday, April 28, 2014.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.
















500mb forecast for Wednesday, April 30, 2014.  Only slight changes in the overall ridge/upper low position between Monday and Wednesday.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.


















Snowfall report for April 24-25, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

13 ESE of Gunflint Lake, MN (Cook County)  13.5″
3 WSW of Lutsen, MN (Cook County)  10.2″
Silver Bay, MN (Lake County)  9.5″
2 NW of Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)  7.7″
6 W of Two Harbors, MN (St. Louis County)  7.5″

Duluth Heights, MN (St. Louis County)  7.0″
Lakewood Township, MN (St. Louis County)  6.5″
Cook, MN (St. Louis County)  6.0″
2 NNW of Grand Marais, MN (Cook County)  6.0″
5 NW of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  4.9″  NWS total

Ely, MN (St. Louis County)  4.8″
Brimson, MN (St. Louis County)  4.5″
Embarrass, MN (St. Louis County)  4.0″
Wrenshall, MN (Carlton County)  3.6″
International Falls, MN (Koochiching County)  3.4″

*RECORD EVENT*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Record 24 hour snowfall at Duluth, Minnesota on April 24, 2014.

New record:  4.3″
Previous record:  3.7″ set in 1950.

Note:  2013-14 snowfall total is at 130.2″ making it the 3rd snowiest season on record at Duluth, Minnesota.  Were 1.6″ shy of 2nd place which is 131.8″ (1949-50)  and 5.2″ away from the all-time snowiest season which was 135.4″ set in 1995-96.

Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Low pressure averaging 1006mb was over the Central Great Lakes late This Afternoon with high pressure over Northern Ontario.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies were common Today with instability type showers of rain, ice pellets, and snow.  A wide range in temperatures around the area Today with 30s over the Arrowhead to the 50s in Southern areas with 40s in between.  Note:  Western-Southern sections of Minnesota had temperatures in the 60s and low 70s Today.  Winds were out of the north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (April 25)

Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue Tonight with spotty early Evening showers which could be mixed with snow or sleet in spots.  Lows will be in the 20s and 30s with north/northwest winds turning to the northeast at 5 to 15 mph.

Saturday and Saturday Night (April 26)

A strong area of low pressure averaging 983-988mb will be moving through the Rockies and toward the Western High Plains while high pressure builds south out of Northern Ontario.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected this period with showers possible at times especially by Tomorrow Night in Western-Southern areas.  Highs will range from the 30s near Lake Superior to the 40s and 50s elsewhere.  Lows will be in the 20s and 30s.  East or northeast winds are expected at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts developing near Lake Superior.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Sunday through Tuesday (April 27-29)

A powerful storm system will move slowly toward the east-northeast as it passes through the Central Plains with strong high pressure of over 1040mb covering Hudson Bay and Ontario.  The pressure difference between that low to our south and high to our north will lead to an extended period of strong east to northeast winds near Lake Superior from Sunday through Tuesday.  Wind speeds of 15-30 mph will likely occur with gusts possibly reaching 45-50 mph.

The amount of precipitation that occurs this far north is uncertain due to the presence of that high to our north which will advect dry air into our area which could eat away at the precipitation as it tries to push north.

If precipitation does occur, most of it should be in the form of rain.  However, near Lake Superior especially along the North Shore could be a different story thanks to the ice covering the lake still.  As the onshore wind blows off this ice pack it may keep temperatures chilly enough to support winter precipitation I.E. snow, sleet, or freezing rain from Sunday-Tuesday.  This situation will have to be watched closely as there could be a significant amount of snow and or ice accumulations between Sunday and Tuesday near Lake Superior, again though it’s unclear just how much precipitation will occur this far north.  Stay tuned.

High temperatures from Sunday through Tuesday will range from the 30s near Lake Superior with 30s and 40s elsewhere.  Lows Sunday Night and Monday Night will mainly be in the 30s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(April 30-May 5)

Chances for rain or possibly mixed precipitation will continue Wednesday and Thursday (April 30-May 1) as a slow moving storm system passes through the Great Lakes.  Might dry out between May 2-3, and then another system could bring some showers to the Northland on the 4th-5th.  Below average temperatures are forecast through this period.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 27 to 32.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming northeast late.

.Saturday…  Breezy.  Partly sunny.  High 35 to 40.  Wind east to northeast at 15 to 25 mph.

.Saturday Night…  Breezy.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.  Wind east to northeast at 15 to 25 mph.

.Sunday…  Windy.  Rain, sleet, or snow possible.  High 32 to 35.  Wind east to northeast at 15 to 30 mph with higher gusts possible.

.Sunday Night…  Windy.  Rain, sleet, snow, or freezing rain possible.  Low 30 to 32.  Wind east to northeast at 15 to 30 mph with higher gusts possible.

.Monday…  Windy.  Rain, sleet, snow, or freezing rain possible.  High 32 to 35.  Wind east to northeast at 15 to 30 mph with higher gusts possible.

.Monday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Rain or mixed precipitation possible.  Low 30 to 32.

.Tuesday…  Mostly cloudy.  High 35 to 40.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  54
Low:   34

Sunrise Saturday:  6:02 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday:   8:12 PM CDT

Tim