It’ll definitely feel colder around the Northland for the rest of the week, with highs Wednesday in the 30s and 40s, then mostly 30s Thursday and Friday. That may seem like a big change after such a mild fall, but these temperatures are actually fairly typical for early to mid-November. Average highs this time of year range from the mid-30s to around 40 degrees, so we’re really just returning to more seasonable conditions.
A few rain showers tonight will give way to some snow or mixed showers across the Northland on Wednesday, followed by flurries and snow showers from Wednesday night into Thursday. With low-level lapse rates steepening on both days, there’s a chance for a couple brief heavier snow showers, though any accumulation would likely be minimal, generally just trace amounts.
…South Shore Lake Effect Snow…
A few inches of lake-effect snow are expected from late Wednesday night through Thursday along the South Shore of Lake Superior, with totals possibly reaching 1 to 2 inches in areas southeast of Ashland.
Cold air will sweep over Lake Superior Wednesday night and Thursday, with 850mb temperatures dropping to about -10°C while lake water temperatures stay between +8 and +10°C. Combined with northerly winds crossing the lake, this setup will produce lake effect snow showers in areas downwind that are favored by the northerly wind direction.
The large-scale weather pattern will become much more amplified over the next several days as a deepening trough drops southeast through the Great Lakes and Northeast, while a broad ridge builds across the western U.S. and extends into the Plains this weekend.
Euro model 500mb forecast through 6 AM Sunday, November 15, 2026.
…Temperature Trends…
Tuesday was probably our last mild day for a bit, though I don’t think we’ve seen the last of 50-degree days in our area for 2026.
Today, Tuesday, November 10, 2026, marked Duluth’s sixth day this month with temperatures hitting 50 degrees or warmer. Typically, November averages about three such days, with the record being 13 set back in 2016.
…Rain Chances tonight…
Some rain over eastern North Dakota this afternoon will spread east/southeast tonight accompanying a cold front which will pass through the Northland tonight. Temperatures will stay warm enough tonight for this precipitation to fall as rain, and what does fall shouldn’t amount to much with totals generally under 0.1 inches.
Radar loop from Tuesday, November 10, 2026, loop time ends 5:24 PM CT.
HRRR model total precipitation through 7 AM Wednesday, November 11, 2026.
High temperatures for November 10, 2026, along with the departure from normal and the record high for that date.
Ashland, WI
High: 60
Departure: +17 degrees
Record High: 67 set in 2010
Brainerd, MN
High: 58
Departure: +15 degrees
Record High: 65 set in 1912
Duluth, MN
High: 57
Departure: +17 degrees
Record High: 64 set in 1917 and 2016
Hibbing, MN
High: 54
Departure: +17 degrees
Record High: 62 set in 2010
International Falls, MN
High: 51
Departure: +14 degrees
Record High: 64 set in 2010