Parts of the Northland might get some rain later Tuesday afternoon into the evening as energy moves east-northeast from the Dakotas. However, as this energy nears the Northland, it will encounter a high-pressure area to the north, leaving computer models uncertain about how far the rain will spread on Tuesday afternoon.
Precipitation anomalies for Duluth
*Month to date: -1.07″ below normal
*Since September 1st: -2.02″ below normal
*Since January 1st: -8.10″ below normal
The European and AI models predict rain shifting farther north into the Northland late Tuesday afternoon and evening, with estimated amounts of about 0.1 to 0.2 inches in the Twin Ports area. On the other hand, the NAM 3km model suggests the rain will stay farther south, leaving northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin with little to no rain. The Canadian models align with the NAM 3km, while the NAM leans towards the Euro guidance.
One factor working against the possibility of rain late Tuesday afternoon or evening is the dry air currently over northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, as high pressure moves in from the northwest. However, there’s a chance that some of the deeper moisture over the Midwest could spread north-northeast into parts of the Northland by Tuesday afternoon, though the extent of this remains uncertain.
Note: Rain chances are expected to return later in the week, primarily on Thursday and possibly extending into Friday, as low pressure moves across the northern Plains and a warm front and cold front advance through the Northland. This system is likely to bring occasional showers to northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, with the potential for a few thunderstorms as well.
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